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Observed Emergence of the Climate Change Signal: From the Familiar to the Unknown 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (6)
作者:  Hawkins, E.;  Frame, D.;  Harrington, L.;  Joshi, M.;  King, A.;  Rojas, M.;  Sutton, R.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：15/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/02
emergence  signal-to-noise  temperature  rainfall  observations  extremes  
Understanding the Signal-to-Noise Paradox with a Simple Markov Model 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (22) : 13308-13317
作者:  Zhang, Wei;  Kirtman, Ben
收藏  |  浏览/下载：8/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
Signal-to-noise paradox  Climate prediction  Markov model  CMIP5 models  Ensemble forecast  
Circulation analogues and uncertainty in the time-evolution of extreme event probabilities: evidence from the 1947 Central European heatwave 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 2229-2247
作者:  Harrington, Luke J.;  Otto, Friederike E. L.;  Cowan, Tim;  Hegerl, Gabriele C.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：8/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Circulation analogues  Heatwaves  Extreme weather events  Signal-to-noise ratios  Climate change  
Extreme temperature and precipitation changes associated with four degree of global warming above pre-industrial levels 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019, 39 (4) : 1822-1838
作者:  Wang, Xiaoxin;  Jiang, Dabang;  Lang, Xianmei
收藏  |  浏览/下载：4/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/26
4 degrees C global warming  climate extremes  inter-model uncertainty  signal-to-noise ratio  
Time of emergence in regional precipitation changes: an updated assessment using the CMIP5 multi-model ensemble 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 51: 3179-3193
作者:  Thuy-Huong Nguyen;  Min, Seung-Ki;  Paik, Seungmok;  Lee, Donghyun
收藏  |  浏览/下载：8/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Time of emergence  Precipitation  CMIP5  RCP scenarios  Signal-to-noise ratio  
Local-scale changes in mean and heavy precipitation in Western Europe, climate change or internal variability? 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 50: 4745-4766
作者:  Aalbers, Emma E.;  Lenderink, Geert;  van Meijgaard, Erik;  van den Hurk, Bart J. J. M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：7/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Regional climate change  Internal variability  Precipitation extremes  Signal-to-noise  Initial-condition RCM-GCM ensemble  EURO-CORDEX  
Projected signals in climate extremes over China associated with a 2 degrees C global warming under two RCP scenarios 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2018, 38: E678-E697
作者:  Sui, Yue;  Lang, Xianmei;  Jiang, Dabang
收藏  |  浏览/下载：8/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
2 degrees C global warming  temperature extremes  precipitation extremes  signals  signal-to-noise ratio  China  
A real-time ocean reanalyses intercomparison project in the context of tropical pacific observing system and ENSO monitoring 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2017, 49
作者:  Xue, Yan;  Wen, C.;  Kumar, A.;  Balmaseda, M.;  Fujii, Y.;  Alves, O.;  Martin, M.;  Yang, X.;  Vernieres, G.;  Desportes, C.;  Lee, T.;  Ascione, I.;  Gudgel, R.;  Ishikawa, I.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：7/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Ocean reanalysis intercomparison  Ocean data assimilation system  Ocean initialization  Tropical Pacific observing system  TAO/TRITON  ENSO monitoring and prediction  Argo floats  Ensemble approach  Signal to noise ratio  
How many RCM ensemble members provide confidence in the impact of land-use land cover change? 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2017, 37 (4)
作者:  Laux, Patrick;  Nguyen, Phuong N. B.;  Cullmann, Johannes;  Tan Phan Van;  Kunstmann, Harald
收藏  |  浏览/下载：4/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
perturbed initial conditions  RCM ensemble simulations  signal-to-noise separation  urbanization  deforestation  Weather Research Forecasting (WRF)  Vietnam  land-use land cover change