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A Cautionary Note on the Long-term Trend in Activity of the Madden-Julian Oscillation During the Past Decades 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (23) : 14063-14071
作者:  Lyu, Mengxia;  Jiang, Xianan;  Wu, Zhiwei
收藏  |  浏览/下载：7/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
Madden-Julian Oscillation real-time multivariate MJO index climate trend Arctic amplification  
Decadal Predictions of the Probability of Occurrence for Warm Summer Temperature Extremes 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (23) : 14042-14051
作者:  Borchert, Leonard F.;  Pohlmann, Holger;  Baehr, Johanna;  Neddermann, Nele-Charlotte;  Suarez-Gutierrez, Laura;  Mueller, Wolfgang A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：8/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
climate prediction  European summer climate  extremes  
Understanding the Signal-to-Noise Paradox with a Simple Markov Model 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (22) : 13308-13317
作者:  Zhang, Wei;  Kirtman, Ben
收藏  |  浏览/下载：8/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
Signal-to-noise paradox  Climate prediction  Markov model  CMIP5 models  Ensemble forecast  
Prediction of Dansgaard-Oeschger Events From Greenland Dust Records 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (21) : 12427-12434
作者:  Lohmann, Johannes
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
Dansgaard-Oeschger events  abrupt climate change  millennial-scale climate variability  ice cores  Greenland  
Skilful Real-Time Seasonal Forecasts of the Dry Northern European Summer 2018 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019
作者:  Dunstone, Nick;  Smith, Doug;  Hardiman, Steven;  Eade, Rosie;  Gordon, Margaret;  Hermanson, Leon;  Kay, Gillian;  Scaife, Adam
收藏  |  浏览/下载：9/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
seasonal prediction  European  rainfall  summer  North Atlantic  
A Priori Identification of Skillful Extratropical Subseasonal Forecasts 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019
作者:  Albers, John R.;  Newman, Matthew
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Linear inverse model  Predictability  Subseasonal  
North Atlantic and Pacific Quasi-Stationary Parts of Atmospheric Rivers and Their Implications for East Asian Monsoon Onset 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019
作者:  Lee, Hung-, I;  Mitchell, Jonathan L.;  Tripati, Aradhna;  Lora, Juan M.;  Chen, Gang;  Ding, Qinghua
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
atmospheric rivers  monsoon  Rossby wave breaking  
Forecast-Oriented Assessment of Decadal Hindcast Skill for North Atlantic SST 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019
作者:  Borchert, Leonard F.;  Duesterhus, Andre;  Brune, Sebastian;  Mueller, Wolfgang A.;  Baehr, Johanna
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
decadal climate prediction  North Atlantic  ocean heat transport  forecast verification  
Higher Subseasonal Predictability of Extreme Hot European Summer Temperatures as Compared to Average Summers 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019
作者:  Wulff, C. Ole;  Domeisen, Daniela I., V
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
temperature extremes  subseasonal prediction  summer heat waves  
Observed El Nino-La Nina Asymmetry in a Linear Model 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (16) : 9909-9919
作者:  Martinez-Villalobos, Cristian;  Newman, Matthew;  Vimont, Daniel J.;  Penland, Cecile;  Neelin, J. David
收藏  |  浏览/下载：4/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27