Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1029/2019GL085133 |
Prediction of Dansgaard-Oeschger Events From Greenland Dust Records | |
Lohmann, Johannes | |
2019-11-11 | |
发表期刊 | GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS |
ISSN | 0094-8276 |
EISSN | 1944-8007 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 46期号:21页码:12427-12434 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Denmark |
英文摘要 | The Dansgaard-Oeschger cycles of the last glacial period are attributed to changes in the Atlantic overturning circulation. An outstanding problem is whether these are driven by a self-sustained oscillation of the Earth system, by stochastic perturbations in terms of freshwater discharges into the ocean or extremes in atmospheric dynamics, or by another driver. Their complex temporal pattern suggests that the transitions in between cold (stadial) and warm (interstadial) phases are noise induced and thus unpredictable. Here, evidence is presented that this is unlikely because the transitions can be predicted to a certain degree within a few hundred years after stadial onset from consistent trends in Greenland dust proxies. These trends could be a manifestation of the climate system reorganizing at a specific timescale. What physically determines these highly variable timescales remains unexplained. Nevertheless, constraining the dynamics underlying these abrupt climate changes is an important step to uncover their causes. |
英文关键词 | Dansgaard-Oeschger events abrupt climate change millennial-scale climate variability ice cores Greenland |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000495621900001 |
WOS关键词 | MERIDIONAL OVERTURNING CIRCULATION ; ICE-CORE ; CLIMATE CHANGES ; MODEL ; OCEAN ; TRANSITIONS ; CALCIUM ; ONSET ; GRIP |
WOS类目 | Geosciences, Multidisciplinary |
WOS研究方向 | Geology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/224992 |
专题 | 环境与发展全球科技态势 |
作者单位 | Univ Copenhagen, Niels Bohr Inst, Phys Ice Climate & Earth, Copenhagen, Denmark |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Lohmann, Johannes. Prediction of Dansgaard-Oeschger Events From Greenland Dust Records[J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2019,46(21):12427-12434. |
APA | Lohmann, Johannes.(2019).Prediction of Dansgaard-Oeschger Events From Greenland Dust Records.GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,46(21),12427-12434. |
MLA | Lohmann, Johannes."Prediction of Dansgaard-Oeschger Events From Greenland Dust Records".GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 46.21(2019):12427-12434. |
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