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Role of the mean state for the Southern Hemispheric jet stream response to CO(2)forcing in CMIP6 models 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 15 (6)
作者:  Curtis, Paul Edwin;  Ceppi, Paulo;  Zappa, Giuseppe
收藏  |  浏览/下载:28/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/18
climate change  atmospheric circulation  jet streams  climate models  
Selection of GCMs for the projection of spatial distribution of heat waves in Pakistan 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2020, 233
作者:  Khan, Najeebullah;  Shahid, Shamsuddin;  Ahmed, Kamal;  Wang, Xiaojun;  Ali, Rawshan;  Ismail, Tarmizi;  Nawaz, Nadeem
收藏  |  浏览/下载:32/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
General circulation model  Climate change projections  Heat waves  Gridded climate data  Pakistan  
Observational and modelling evidence of a zonal circulation over the North Pacific 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019
作者:  Zou, Youjia;  Xi, Xiangying
收藏  |  浏览/下载:35/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
NH climate change  North Pacific  significant impact  thermal driving  zonal overturning circulation cell  
No Cookie for Climate Change 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019
作者:  Voigt, A.;  Albern, N.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:17/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
clouds  radiation  climate change  circulation  global models  
Mass balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet from 1992 to 2018 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 579 (7798) : 233-+
作者:  Scudellari, Megan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:32/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

The Greenland Ice Sheet has been a major contributor to global sea-level rise in recent decades(1,2), and it is expected to continue to be so(3). Although increases in glacier flow(4-6) and surface melting(7-9) have been driven by oceanic(10-12) and atmospheric(13,14) warming, the magnitude and trajectory of the ice sheet'  s mass imbalance remain uncertain. Here we compare and combine 26 individual satellite measurements of changes in the ice sheet'  s volume, flow and gravitational potential to produce a reconciled estimate of its mass balance. The ice sheet was close to a state of balance in the 1990s, but annual losses have risen since then, peaking at 345 +/- 66 billion tonnes per year in 2011. In all, Greenland lost 3,902 +/- 342 billion tonnes of ice between 1992 and 2018, causing the mean sea level to rise by 10.8 +/- 0.9 millimetres. Using three regional climate models, we show that the reduced surface mass balance has driven 1,964 +/- 565 billion tonnes (50.3 per cent) of the ice loss owing to increased meltwater runoff. The remaining 1,938 +/- 541 billion tonnes (49.7 per cent) of ice loss was due to increased glacier dynamical imbalance, which rose from 46 +/- 37 billion tonnes per year in the 1990s to 87 +/- 25 billion tonnes per year since then. The total rate of ice loss slowed to 222 +/- 30 billion tonnes per year between 2013 and 2017, on average, as atmospheric circulation favoured cooler conditions(15) and ocean temperatures fell at the terminus of Jakobshavn Isbr AE(16). Cumulative ice losses from Greenland as a whole have been close to the rates predicted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for their high-end climate warming scenario(17), which forecast an additional 70 to 130 millimetres of global sea-level rise by 2100 compared with their central estimate.


  
Disentangling Drivers of Meteorological Droughts in the European Greater Alpine Region During the Last Two Centuries 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2019
作者:  Haslinger, K.;  Hofstaetter, M.;  Kroisleitner, C.;  Schoener, W.;  Laaha, G.;  Holawe, F.;  Bloeschl, G.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:21/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
drought  atmospheric circulation  circulation types  soil moisture preciptation feedback  Europe  climate change  
Observable, low-order dynamical controls on thresholds of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (11) : 6815-6834
作者:  Wood, Richard A.;  Rodriguez, Jose M.;  Smith, Robin S.;  Jackson, Laura C.;  Hawkins, Ed
收藏  |  浏览/下载:28/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Atlantic meridional overturning circulation  Thresholds  Climate change  Dynamics  Fresh water  
Size of the Atmospheric Blocking Events: Scaling Law and Response to Climate Change 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (22) : 13488-13499
作者:  Nabizadeh, Ebrahim;  Hassanzadeh, Pedram;  Yang, Da;  Barnes, Elizabeth A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:15/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
blocking events  extreme events  climate change  scaling law  midlatitude circulation  hierarchical modeling  
The Presence of Africa and Limited Soil Moisture Contribute to Future Drying of South America 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (21) : 12445-12453
作者:  Pietschnig, M.;  Lambert, F. H.;  Saint-Lu, M.;  Vallis, G. K.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:20/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
tropical precipitation change  global warming  Amazon basin  simple scaling  atmospheric circulation  Matsuno-Gill  
Causes of future Mediterranean precipitation decline depend on the season 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 14 (11)
作者:  Brogli, Roman;  Sorland, Silje Lund;  Kroner, Nico;  Schar, Christoph
收藏  |  浏览/下载:19/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
pseudo-global warming  subtropical precipitation decline  European regional climate modeling  climate change drivers  water stress  land-ocean contrast  circulation changes