Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/ab4438 |
Causes of future Mediterranean precipitation decline depend on the season | |
Brogli, Roman; Sorland, Silje Lund; Kroner, Nico; Schar, Christoph | |
2019-11-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS |
ISSN | 1748-9326 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 14期号:11 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Switzerland |
英文摘要 | Future mean precipitation in the Mediterranean is projected to decrease year-round in response to global warming, threatening to aggravate water stress in the region, which can cause social and economic difficulties. We investigate possible causes of the Mediterranean drying in regional climate simulations. To test the influence of multiple large-scale drivers on the drying, we sequentially add them to the simulations. We find that the causes of the Mediterranean drying depend on the season. The summer drying results from the land-ocean warming contrast, and from lapse-rate and other thermodynamic changes, but only weakly depends on circulation changes. In contrast, to reproduce the simulated Mediterranean winter drying, additional changes in the circulation and atmospheric state have to be represented in the simulations. Since land-ocean contrast, thermodynamic and lapserate changes are more robust in climate simulations than circulation changes, the uncertainty associated with the projected drying should be considered smaller in summer than in winter. |
英文关键词 | pseudo-global warming subtropical precipitation decline European regional climate modeling climate change drivers water stress land-ocean contrast circulation changes |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000503842000003 |
WOS关键词 | CLIMATE-CHANGE PROJECTIONS ; OCEAN WARMING CONTRAST ; REGIONAL CLIMATE ; ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION ; UNCERTAINTY ; CYCLE ; SIMULATIONS |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/224677 |
专题 | 环境与发展全球科技态势 |
作者单位 | Swiss Fed Inst Technol, Inst Atmospher & Climate Sci, Univ Str 16, CH-8092 Zurich, Switzerland |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Brogli, Roman,Sorland, Silje Lund,Kroner, Nico,et al. Causes of future Mediterranean precipitation decline depend on the season[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2019,14(11). |
APA | Brogli, Roman,Sorland, Silje Lund,Kroner, Nico,&Schar, Christoph.(2019).Causes of future Mediterranean precipitation decline depend on the season.ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,14(11). |
MLA | Brogli, Roman,et al."Causes of future Mediterranean precipitation decline depend on the season".ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS 14.11(2019). |
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