DOI | 10.1038/s41586-019-1855-2
|
| Mass balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet from 1992 to 2018 |
| Scudellari, Megan
|
| 2019-12-10
|
发表期刊 | NATURE
|
ISSN | 0028-0836
|
EISSN | 1476-4687
|
出版年 | 2020
|
卷号 | 579期号:7798页码:233-+ |
文章类型 | Article
|
语种 | 英语
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国家 | England; USA; Netherlands; France; Belgium; Denmark; Italy; Scotland; Germany; Canada; Norway; Chile; Spain; Austria; South Korea |
英文关键词 | The Greenland Ice Sheet has been a major contributor to global sea-level rise in recent decades(1,2), and it is expected to continue to be so(3). Although increases in glacier flow(4-6) and surface melting(7-9) have been driven by oceanic(10-12) and atmospheric(13,14) warming, the magnitude and trajectory of the ice sheet'
s mass imbalance remain uncertain. Here we compare and combine 26 individual satellite measurements of changes in the ice sheet'
s volume, flow and gravitational potential to produce a reconciled estimate of its mass balance. The ice sheet was close to a state of balance in the 1990s, but annual losses have risen since then, peaking at 345 +/- 66 billion tonnes per year in 2011. In all, Greenland lost 3,902 +/- 342 billion tonnes of ice between 1992 and 2018, causing the mean sea level to rise by 10.8 +/- 0.9 millimetres. Using three regional climate models, we show that the reduced surface mass balance has driven 1,964 +/- 565 billion tonnes (50.3 per cent) of the ice loss owing to increased meltwater runoff. The remaining 1,938 +/- 541 billion tonnes (49.7 per cent) of ice loss was due to increased glacier dynamical imbalance, which rose from 46 +/- 37 billion tonnes per year in the 1990s to 87 +/- 25 billion tonnes per year since then. The total rate of ice loss slowed to 222 +/- 30 billion tonnes per year between 2013 and 2017, on average, as atmospheric circulation favoured cooler conditions(15) and ocean temperatures fell at the terminus of Jakobshavn Isbr AE(16). Cumulative ice losses from Greenland as a whole have been close to the rates predicted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for their high-end climate warming scenario(17), which forecast an additional 70 to 130 millimetres of global sea-level rise by 2100 compared with their central estimate.
|
领域 | 地球科学
; 气候变化
; 资源环境
|
收录类别 | SCI-E
|
WOS记录号 | WOS:000519378900023
|
WOS关键词 | GLACIAL ISOSTATIC-ADJUSTMENT
; RELATIVE SEA-LEVEL
; PETERMANN GLACIER
; ELEVATION CHANGE
; SURFACE
; GRACE
; CLIMATE
; MODEL
; ACCELERATION
; ANTARCTICA
|
WOS类目 | Multidisciplinary Sciences
|
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics
|
URL | 查看原文
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引用统计 |
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文献类型 | 期刊论文
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条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/231906
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专题 | 地球科学 资源环境科学 气候变化
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推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 |
Scudellari, Megan. Mass balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet from 1992 to 2018[J].
NATURE,2019,579(7798):233-+.
|
APA |
Scudellari, Megan.(2019).Mass balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet from 1992 to 2018.NATURE,579(7798),233-+.
|
MLA |
Scudellari, Megan."Mass balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet from 1992 to 2018".NATURE 579.7798(2019):233-+.
|
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