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What users of global risk indicators should know 期刊论文
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS, 2020, 62
作者:  Visser, H.;  de Bruin, S.;  Martens, A.;  Knoop, J.;  Ligtvoet, W.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Campbell'  s law  Composite indicators  Global data sets  Metadata  Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis  
Current Models Underestimate Future Irrigated Areas 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (8)
作者:  Puy, A.;  Lo Piano, S.;  Saltelli, A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
uncertainty  modeling  agriculture  irrigation  sensitivity analysis  
A new coronavirus associated with human respiratory disease in China 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 579 (7798) : 265-+
作者:  Rollie, Clare;  Chevallereau, Anne;  Watson, Bridget N. J.;  Chyou, Te-yuan;  Fradet, Olivier;  McLeod, Isobel;  Fineran, Peter C.;  Brown, Chris M.;  Gandon, Sylvain;  Westra, Edze R.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:56/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

Emerging infectious diseases, such as severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) and Zika virus disease, present a major threat to public health(1-3). Despite intense research efforts, how, when and where new diseases appear are still a source of considerable uncertainty. A severe respiratory disease was recently reported in Wuhan, Hubei province, China. As of 25 January 2020, at least 1,975 cases had been reported since the first patient was hospitalized on 12 December 2019. Epidemiological investigations have suggested that the outbreak was associated with a seafood market in Wuhan. Here we study a single patient who was a worker at the market and who was admitted to the Central Hospital of Wuhan on 26 December 2019 while experiencing a severe respiratory syndrome that included fever, dizziness and a cough. Metagenomic RNA sequencing(4) of a sample of bronchoalveolar lavage fluid from the patient identified a new RNA virus strain from the family Coronaviridae, which is designated here '  WH-Human 1'  coronavirus (and has also been referred to as '  2019-nCoV'  ). Phylogenetic analysis of the complete viral genome (29,903 nucleotides) revealed that the virus was most closely related (89.1% nucleotide similarity) to a group of SARS-like coronaviruses (genus Betacoronavirus, subgenus Sarbecovirus) that had previously been found in bats in China(5). This outbreak highlights the ongoing ability of viral spill-over from animals to cause severe disease in humans.


  
Uncertainty of stationary and nonstationary models for rainfall frequency analysis 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019
作者:  Ouarda, Taha B. M. J.;  Charron, Christian;  St-Hilaire, Andre
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
arid-climate  climate oscillation index  nonstationary frequency analysis  parametric bootstrap  rainfall  teleconnection  uncertainty  United Arab Emirates  
Regionalization and parameterization of a hydrologic model significantly affect the cascade of uncertainty in climate-impact projections 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 2861-2886
作者:  Vaghefi, Saeid Ashraf;  Iravani, Majid;  Sauchyn, David;  Andreichuk, Yuliya;  Goss, Greg;  Faramarzi, Monireh
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Uncertainty analysis  Uncertainty decomposition  Climate change  Natural climate variability  SWAT  ANOVA-SUFI-2  
Ensemble Spatial Precipitation Analysis From Rain Gauge Data: Methodology and Application in the European Alps 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2019, 124 (11) : 5757-5778
作者:  Frei, Christoph;  Isotta, Francesco A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
spatial analysis  precipitation  ensemble  uncertainty  Alpine region  
Parametric Sensitivity and Uncertainty Quantification in the Version 1 of E3SM Atmosphere Model Based on Short Perturbed Parameter Ensemble Simulations 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2018, 123 (23) : 13046-13073
作者:  Qian, Yun;  Wan, Hui;  Yang, Ben;  Golaz, Jean-Christophe;  Harrop, Bryce;  Hou, Zhangshuan;  Larson, Vincent E.;  Leung, L. Ruby;  Lin, Guangxing;  Lin, Wuyin;  Ma, Po-Lun;  Ma, Hsi-Yen;  Rasch, Phil;  Singh, Balwinder;  Wang, Hailong;  Xie, Shaocheng;  Zhang, Kai
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
parametric sensitivity  uncertainty quantification  E3SM  PPE  short simulations  sensitivity analysis  
Evapotranspiration simulations in ISIMIP2a-Evaluation of spatio-temporal characteristics with a comprehensive ensemble of independent datasets 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 13 (7)
作者:  Wartenburger, Richard;  Seneviratne, Sonia, I;  Hirschi, Martin;  Chang, Jinfeng;  Ciais, Philippe;  Deryng, Delphine;  Elliott, Joshua;  Folberth, Christian;  Gosling, Simon N.;  Gudmundsson, Lukas;  Henrot, Alexandra-Jane;  Hickler, Thomas;  Ito, Akihiko;  Khabarov, Nikolay;  Kim, Hyungjun;  Leng, Guoyong;  Liu, Junguo;  Liu, Xingcai;  Masaki, Yoshimitsu;  Morfopoulos, Catherine;  Mueller, Christoph;  Schmied, Hannes Mueller;  Nishina, Kazuya;  Orth, Rene;  Pokhrel, Yadu;  Pugh, Thomas A. M.;  Satoh, Yusuke;  Schaphoff, Sibyll;  Schmid, Erwin;  Sheffield, Justin;  Stacke, Tobias;  Steinkamp, Joerg;  Tang, Qiuhong;  Thiery, Wim;  Wada, Yoshihide;  Wang, Xuhui;  Weedon, Graham P.;  Yang, Hong;  Zhou, Tian
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
ISIMIP2a  evapotranspiration  uncertainty  cluster analysis  hydrological extreme events  
Uncertainties Caused by Major Meteorological Analysis Data Sets in Simulating Air Quality Over India 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2018, 123 (11) : 6230-6247
作者:  Chatani, Satoru;  Sharma, Sumit
收藏  |  浏览/下载:3/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
air quality simulation  India  meteorological analysis  uncertainty  
Energy transitions and emerging economies: A multi-criteria analysis of policy options for hydropower surplus utilization in Paraguay 期刊论文
ENERGY POLICY, 2017, 108
作者:  Blanco, G.;  Amarilla, R.;  Martinez, A.;  Llamosas, C.;  Oxilia, V.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:3/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP)  Emerging economies  Energy transitions  Public policy under uncertainty  Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA)