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Seasonal Characteristics of Model Uncertainties From Biogenic Fluxes, Transport, and Large-Scale Boundary Inflow in Atmospheric CO2 Simulations Over North America 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2019, 124 (24) : 14325-14346
作者:  Feng, Sha;  Lauvaux, Thomas;  Davis, Kenneth J.;  Keller, Klaus;  Zhou, Yu;  Williams, Christopher;  Schuh, Andrew E.;  Liu, Junjie;  Baker, Ian
收藏  |  浏览/下载：12/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
Regional CO2 modeling  Uncertainty  Tranport  Biogenic fluxes  Boundary conditions  
A Road Map for Improving the Treatment of Uncertainties in High-Resolution Regional Carbon Flux Inverse Estimates 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (22) : 13461-13469
作者:  Feng, Sha;  Lauvaux, Thomas;  Keller, Klaus;  Davis, Kenneth J.;  Rayner, Peter;  Oda, Tomohiro;  Gurney, Kevin R.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：16/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
Regional carbon flux  CO2 modeling  Uncertainty  Fossil fuel emissions  Boundary inflow  Transport  
Not all carbon dioxide emission scenarios are equally likely: a subjective expert assessment 期刊论文
CLIMATIC CHANGE, 2019, 155 (4) : 545-561
作者:  Ho, Emily;  Budescu, David V.;  Bosetti, Valentina;  van Vuuren, Detlef P.;  Keller, Klaus
收藏  |  浏览/下载：9/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Representation of US Warm Temperature Extremes in Global Climate Model Ensembles 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (9) : 2591-2603
作者:  Hogan, Emily;  Nicholas, Robert E.;  Keller, Klaus;  Eilts, Stephanie;  Sriver, Ryan L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：8/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/26
Extreme events  Climate change  Climate variability  Temperature  Climate models  Model output statistics  
Neglecting model structural uncertainty underestimates upper tails of flood hazard 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 13 (7)
作者:  Wong, Tony E.;  Klufas, Alexandra;  Srikrishnan, Vivek;  Keller, Klaus
收藏  |  浏览/下载：7/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
coastal flooding  natural hazards  Bayesian statistics  uncertainty  extremes  
Multidecadal Scale Detection Time for Potentially Increasing Atlantic Storm Surges in a Warming Climate 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2017, 44 (20)
作者:  Lee, Benjamin Seiyon;  Haran, Murali;  Keller, Klaus
收藏  |  浏览/下载：0/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Impacts of Antarctic fast dynamics on sea-level projections and coastal flood defense 期刊论文
CLIMATIC CHANGE, 2017, 144 (2)
作者:  Wong, Tony E.;  Bakker, Alexander M. R.;  Keller, Klaus
收藏  |  浏览/下载：5/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Sea-level projections  West Antarctic ice sheet  Coastal flood defense  Climate impacts  Cliff failure and hydrofracturing  
Understanding scientists' computational modeling decisions about climate risk management strategies using values-informed mental models 期刊论文
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS, 2017, 42
作者:  Mayer, Lauren A.;  Loa, Kathleen;  Cwik, Bryan;  Tuana, Nancy;  Keller, Klaus;  Gonnerman, Chad;  Parker, Andrew M.;  Lempert, Robert J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：7/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Values-informed mental models  Climate change  Risk management  Decision making under uncertainty