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A Mechanism for the Arctic Sea Ice Spring Predictability Barrier 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (13)
作者:  Bushuk, Mitchell;  Winton, Michael;  Bonan, David B.;  Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, Edward;  Delworth, Thomas L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：10/0  |  提交时间：2020/06/16
regional Arctic sea ice  seasonal predictability  mass budget  large ensembles  
What Caused the Extreme Indian Ocean Dipole Event in 2019? 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (11)
作者:  Lu, Bo;  Ren, Hong-Li
收藏  |  浏览/下载：9/0  |  提交时间：2020/05/25
Indian Ocean Dipole  cause  prediction  
Potential for Early Forecast of Moroccan Wheat Yields Based on Climatic Drivers 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (12)
作者:  Lehmann, J.;  Kretschmer, M.;  Schauberger, B.;  Wechsung, F.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：18/0  |  提交时间：2020/05/20
causal discovery algorithms  teleconnections  seasonal forecast  machine learning  wheat forecast  climate precursors  
Subseasonal Vacillations in the Winter Stratosphere 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (9)
作者:  Hardiman, S. C.;  Scaife, A. A.;  Dunstone, N. J.;  Wang, L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：8/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/02
seasonal forecast  wave-mean flow interaction  stratosphere  polar vortex  
Will Coral Reefs in the North Atlantic Ocean Bleach During the Next Season? A Probabilistic Answer 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (9)
作者:  Lisboa, D. S.;  Kikuchi, R. K. P.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：9/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/02
Coral bleaching seasonal forecast  Bayesian Network  SST anomaly  El Nino  Early warning system  Environmental management support  
Relating CMIP5 Model Biases to Seasonal Forecast Skill in the Tropical Pacific 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (5)
作者:  Ding, Hui;  Newman, Matthew;  Alexander, Michael A.;  Wittenberg, Andrew T.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/02
Distinguishing Spread Among Ensemble Members Between Drought and Flood Indian Summer Monsoon Years in the Past 58 Years (1958-2015) Reforecasts 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (4)
作者:  Shukla, Ravi P.;  Shin, Chul-Su
收藏  |  浏览/下载：5/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/02
A Multiscale Precipitation Forecasting Framework: Linking Teleconnections and Climate Dipoles to Seasonal and 24-hr Extreme Rainfall Prediction 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (3)
作者:  Kim, Yong-Tak;  So, Byung-Jin;  Kwon, Hyun-Han;  Lall, Upmanu
收藏  |  浏览/下载：5/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/02
Enhancing ENSO Prediction Skill by Combining Model-Analog and Linear Inverse Models (MA-LIM) 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (1)
作者:  Shin, Jihoon;  Park, Sungsu;  Shin, Sang-Ik;  Newman, Matthew;  Alexander, Michael A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：4/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/02
Understanding the Signal-to-Noise Paradox with a Simple Markov Model 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (22) : 13308-13317
作者:  Zhang, Wei;  Kirtman, Ben
收藏  |  浏览/下载：8/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
Signal-to-noise paradox  Climate prediction  Markov model  CMIP5 models  Ensemble forecast