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Effects of climate and land-use change scenarios on fire probability during the 21st century in the Brazilian Amazon 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (9) : 2931-2946
作者:  Fonseca, Marisa Gesteira;  Alves, Lincoln Muniz;  Dutra Aguiar, Ana Paula;  Arai, Egidio;  Anderson, Liana Oighenstein;  Rosan, Thais Michele;  Shimabukuro, Yosio Edemir;  Oliveira e Cruz de Aragao, Luiz Eduardo
收藏  |  浏览/下载：12/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
fire modeling  forest degradation  hot pixels  maximum entropy  representative concentration pathway  tropical forest  
Emergence of robust precipitation changes across crop production areas in the 21st century 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2019, 116 (14) : 6673-6678
作者:  Rojas, Maisa;  Lambert, Fabrice;  Ramirez-Villegas, Julian;  Challinor, Andrew J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：12/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
climate change  natural variability  precipitation  agriculture  CMIP5  
Land-atmosphere feedbacks exacerbate concurrent soil drought and atmospheric aridity 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2019, 116 (38) : 18848-18853
作者:  Zhou, Sha;  Williams, A. Park;  Berg, Alexis M.;  Cook, Benjamin I.;  Zhang, Yao;  Hagemann, Stefan;  Lorenz, Ruth;  Seneviratne, Sonia I.;  Gentine, Pierre
收藏  |  浏览/下载：37/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
soil moisture  vapor pressure deficit  compound extreme events  GLACE-CMIP5  
Consistent trophic amplification of marine biomass declines under climate change 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (1) : 218-229
作者:  Kwiatkowski, Lester;  Aumont, Olivier;  Bopp, Laurent
收藏  |  浏览/下载：14/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
climate change  food quality  marine primary production  plankton  stoichiometry  trophic amplification  
Altimeter-era emergence of the patterns of forced sea-level rise in climate models and implications for the future 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2018, 115 (51) : 12944-12949
作者:  Fasullo, John T.;  Nerem, R. Steven
收藏  |  浏览/下载：5/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
sea level  climate variability  climate change  satellite altimetry  
Striking stationarity of large-scale climate model bias patterns under strong climate change 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2018, 115 (38) : 9462-9466
作者:  Krinner, Gerhard;  Flanner, Mark G.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
climate modeling  climate change  model biases  
Importance of disturbance history on net primary productivity in the world's most productive forests and implications for the global carbon cycle 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2018, 24 (9) : 4293-4303
作者:  Volkova, Liubov;  Roxburgh, Stephen H.;  Weston, Christopher J.;  Benyon, Richard G.;  Sullivan, Andrew L.;  Polglase, Philip J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：10/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
carbon  CMIP5  disturbance  ecosystems  Eucalyptus regnans  fire  global models  mountain ash  net primary production  
Impact of priming on global soil carbon stocks 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2018, 24 (5) : 1873-1883
作者:  Guenet, Bertrand;  Camino-Serrano, Marta;  Ciais, Philippe;  Tifafi, Marwa;  Maignan, Fabienne;  Soong, Jennifer L.;  Janssens, Ivan A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：5/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
carbon cycle  climate change  land surface model  priming  RCP scenario  
Peak season plant activity shift towards spring is reflected by increasing carbon uptake by extratropical ecosystems 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2018, 24 (5) : 2117-2128
作者:  Gonsamo, Alemu;  Chen, Jing M.;  Ooi, Ying W.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
carbon uptake  CMIP5  CO2 seasonality  earth system model  peak season  plant phenology  Point Barrow station  C-13  
Impact of climate change on New York City's coastal flood hazard: Increasing flood heights from the preindustrial to 2300 CE 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2017, 114 (45) : 11861-11866
作者:  Garner, Andra J.;  Mann, Michael E.;  Emanuel, Kerry A.;  Kopp, Robert E.;  Lin, Ning;  Alley, Richard B.;  Horton, Benjamin P.;  DeConto, Robert M.;  Donnelly, Jeffrey P.;  Pollard, David
收藏  |  浏览/下载：11/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
tropical cyclones  flood height  New York City  sea-level rise  coastal flooding