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Present-day greenhouse gases could cause more frequent and longer Dust Bowl heatwaves 期刊论文
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE, 2020, 10 (6) : 505-+
作者:  Cowan, Tim;  Undorf, Sabine;  Hegerl, Gabriele C.;  Harrington, Luke J.;  Otto, Friederike E. L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/20
Circulation analogues and uncertainty in the time-evolution of extreme event probabilities: evidence from the 1947 Central European heatwave 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 2229-2247
作者:  Harrington, Luke J.;  Otto, Friederike E. L.;  Cowan, Tim;  Hegerl, Gabriele C.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Circulation analogues  Heatwaves  Extreme weather events  Signal-to-noise ratios  Climate change  
Return period of extreme rainfall substantially decreases under 1.5 degrees C and 2.0 degrees C warming: a case study for Uttarakhand, India 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 14 (4)
作者:  Kumari, Savitri;  Haustein, Karsten;  Javid, Hammad;  Burton, Chad;  Allen, Myles R.;  Paltan, Homero;  Dadson, Simon;  Otto, Friederike E. L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
extreme event attribution  climate modelling  return period  1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C of warming  flood  extreme rain  
Embracing the complexity of extreme weather events when quantifying their likelihood of recurrence in a warming world 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 14 (2)
作者:  Harrington, Luke J.;  Lewis, Sophie;  Perkins-Kirkpatrick, Sarah E.;  King, Andrew D.;  Otto, Friederike E. L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:16/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
climate change  extreme events  attribution  time of maximum similarity  global temperatures  
Adapting attribution science to the climate extremes of tomorrow 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 13 (12)
作者:  Harrington, Luke J.;  Otto, Friederike E. L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
climate change  attribution  extreme events  future projections  saturation  adaptation  
Attributing high-impact extreme events across timescales-a case study of four different types of events 期刊论文
CLIMATIC CHANGE, 2018, 149: 399-412
作者:  Otto, Friederike E. L.;  Philip, Sjoukje;  Kew, Sarah;  Li, Sihan;  King, Andrew;  Cullen, Heidi
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
How Uneven Are Changes to Impact-Relevant Climate Hazards in a 1.5 degrees C World and Beyond? 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 45 (13) : 6672-6680
作者:  Harrington, Luke J.;  Frame, Dave;  King, Andrew D.;  Otto, Friederike E. L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
climate change  Paris Agreement  climate impacts  adaptation  
Changing population dynamics and uneven temperature emergence combine to exacerbate regional exposure to heat extremes under 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C of warming 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 13 (3)
作者:  Harrington, Luke J.;  Otto, Friederike E. L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:1/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
climate change emergence  heat extremes  population exposure  paris agreement  
Climate change increases the probability of heavy rains in Northern England/Southern Scotland like those of storm Desmond-a real-time event attribution revisited 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 13 (2)
作者:  Otto, Friederike E. L.;  van der Wiel, Karin;  van Oldenborgh, Geert Jan;  Philip, Sjoukje;  Kew, Sarah F.;  Uhe, Peter;  Cullen, Heidi
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
extreme events  attribution  climate change  
Climate change increases the probability of heavy rains in Northern England/Southern Scotland like those of storm Desmond-a real-time event attribution revisited 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 13 (2)
作者:  Otto, Friederike E. L.;  van der Wiel, Karin;  van Oldenborgh, Geert Jan;  Philip, Sjoukje;  Kew, Sarah F.;  Uhe, Peter;  Cullen, Heidi
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
extreme events  attribution  climate change