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Late 1980s abrupt cold season temperature change in Europe consistent with circulation variability and long-term warming 期刊论文
Environmental Research Letters, 2020
作者:  Sebastian Sippel;  Erich M Fischer;  Simon C Scherrer;  Nicolai Meinshausen;  Reto Knutti
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2020/09/08
Conditional and residual trends of singular hot days in Europe 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 15 (6)
作者:  Jezequel, Aglae;  39;Andrea, Fabio
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
climate change  extreme events  thermodynamics  dynamics  attribution  
Time-Varying Contribution of Internal Dynamics to Wintertime Land Temperature Trends Over the Northern Hemisphere 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019
作者:  Gong, Hainan;  Wang, Lin;  Chen, Wen;  Wu, Renguang
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
wintertime land temperature trends  time-varying contributions of internal dynamics  the Arctic Oscillation  climate change  attribution  quantitative analysis  
Mass balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet from 1992 to 2018 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 579 (7798) : 233-+
作者:  Scudellari, Megan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

The Greenland Ice Sheet has been a major contributor to global sea-level rise in recent decades(1,2), and it is expected to continue to be so(3). Although increases in glacier flow(4-6) and surface melting(7-9) have been driven by oceanic(10-12) and atmospheric(13,14) warming, the magnitude and trajectory of the ice sheet'  s mass imbalance remain uncertain. Here we compare and combine 26 individual satellite measurements of changes in the ice sheet'  s volume, flow and gravitational potential to produce a reconciled estimate of its mass balance. The ice sheet was close to a state of balance in the 1990s, but annual losses have risen since then, peaking at 345 +/- 66 billion tonnes per year in 2011. In all, Greenland lost 3,902 +/- 342 billion tonnes of ice between 1992 and 2018, causing the mean sea level to rise by 10.8 +/- 0.9 millimetres. Using three regional climate models, we show that the reduced surface mass balance has driven 1,964 +/- 565 billion tonnes (50.3 per cent) of the ice loss owing to increased meltwater runoff. The remaining 1,938 +/- 541 billion tonnes (49.7 per cent) of ice loss was due to increased glacier dynamical imbalance, which rose from 46 +/- 37 billion tonnes per year in the 1990s to 87 +/- 25 billion tonnes per year since then. The total rate of ice loss slowed to 222 +/- 30 billion tonnes per year between 2013 and 2017, on average, as atmospheric circulation favoured cooler conditions(15) and ocean temperatures fell at the terminus of Jakobshavn Isbr AE(16). Cumulative ice losses from Greenland as a whole have been close to the rates predicted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for their high-end climate warming scenario(17), which forecast an additional 70 to 130 millimetres of global sea-level rise by 2100 compared with their central estimate.


  
Linear and Weakly Nonlinear Energetics of Global Nonhydrostatic Normal Modes 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2019, 76 (12) : 3831-3846
作者:  Raupp, Carlos F. M.;  Teruya, Andre S. W.;  Silva Dias, Pedro L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Dynamics  Inertia-gravity waves  Nonlinear dynamics  Waves  atmospheric  
Tropical Pacific Ocean Dynamical Response to Short-Term Sulfate Aerosol Forcing 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (23) : 8205-8221
作者:  Verma, Tarun;  Saravanan, R.;  Chang, P.;  Mahajan, S.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Tropics  Atmosphere-ocean interaction  Ocean dynamics  Aerosols  Climate models  Interannual variability  
Effect of atmospheric circulation on recent temperature changes in Finland 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 5675-5687
作者:  Raisanen, Jouni
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Atmospheric circulation  Trajectory  Temperature  Climate change  Finland  CMIP5  
Projections of climate changes over mid-high latitudes of Eurasia during boreal spring: uncertainty due to internal variability 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 6309-6327
作者:  Chen, Shangfeng;  Wu, Renguang;  Chen, Wen
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Boreal spring  Eurasia  Internal variability  External forcing  Uncertainty  
Attribution of the East Asian Winter Temperature Trends During 1979-2018: Role of External Forcing and Internal Variability 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019
作者:  Gong, Hainan;  Wang, Lin;  Chen, Wen;  Wu, Renguang
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
East Asia  temperature trend  external forcing  internal variability  dynamical adjustment  quantitative analysis  
A 1D RCE Study of Factors Affecting the Tropical Tropopause Layer and Surface Climate 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (20) : 6769-6782
作者:  Dacie, Sally;  Kluft, Lukas;  Schmidt, Hauke;  Stevens, Bjorn;  Buehler, Stefan A.;  Nowack, Peer J.;  Dietmueller, Simone;  Abraham, N. Luke;  Birner, Thomas
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Radiative-convective equilibrium  Tropopause  Climate sensitivity  Ozone  Single column models