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Improving the CPC's ENSO Forecasts using Bayesian model averaging 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 3373-3385
作者:  Zhang, Hanpei;  Chu, Pao-Shin;  He, Luke;  Unger, David
收藏  |  浏览/下载：4/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
On memory and non-memory parts of surface air temperatures over China: can they be simulated by decadal hindcast experiments in CMIP5? 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 4515-4525
作者:  Xiong, Feilin;  Yuan, Naiming;  Ma, Xiaoyan;  Lu, Zhenghui;  Gao, Jinhui
收藏  |  浏览/下载：11/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/26
Long-term memory  Memory part  Non-memory part  CMIP5  
On climate prediction: how much can we expect from climate memory? 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 855-864
作者:  Yuan, Naiming;  Huang, Yan;  Duan, Jianping;  Zhu, Congwen;  Xoplaki, Elena;  Luterbacher, Juerg
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Long-term climate memory  Climate predictability  Climate prediction  Fractional integral statistical model  
Variability in modeled cloud feedback tied to differences in the climatological spatial pattern of clouds 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 50: 1209-1220
作者:  Siler, Nicholas;  Po-Chedley, Stephen;  Bretherton, Christopher S.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：11/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Cloud feedback  Equilibrium climate sensitivity  Emergent constraint  
Japan Meteorological Agency/Meteorological Research Institute-Coupled Prediction System version 2 (JMA/MRI-CPS2): atmosphere-land-ocean-sea ice coupled prediction system for operational seasonal forecasting 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 50: 751-765
作者:  Takaya, Yuhei;  Hirahara, Shoji;  Yasuda, Tamaki;  Matsueda, Satoko;  Toyoda, Takahiro;  Fujii, Yosuke;  Sugimoto, Hiroyuki;  Matsukawa, Chihiro;  Ishikawa, Ichiro;  Mori, Hirotoshi;  Nagasawa, Ryoji;  Kubo, Yutaro;  Adachi, Noriyuki;  Yamanaka, Goro;  Kuragano, Tsurane;  Shimpo, Akihiko;  Maeda, Shuhei;  Ose, Tomoaki
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Seasonal prediction  Coupled model  ENSO  Sea ice  Land initialization  
Identifying the predictable and unpredictable patterns of spring-to-autumn precipitation over eastern China 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2017, 48
作者:  Ying, Kairan;  Zheng, Xiaogu;  Zhao, Tianbao;  Frederiksen, Carsten S.;  Quan, Xiao-Wei
收藏  |  浏览/下载：13/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Potential predictability  Predictable mode  Unpredictable mode  Kuroshio Current SST  Indian Ocean SST  ENSO  Subtropical high  
An empirical model for probabilistic decadal prediction: global attribution and regional hindcasts 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2017, 48
作者:  Suckling, Emma B.;  van Oldenborgh, Geert Jan;  Eden, Jonathan M.;  Hawkins, Ed
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Empirical modelling  Decadal prediction  Hindcast skill