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Verification of high resolution (12 km) Global Ensemble Prediction System 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2020, 236
作者:  Mamgain, Ashu;  Sarkar, Abhijit;  Rajagopal, E. N.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：8/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/02
Ensemble Prediction System  Ensemble member  Probabilistic forecasts  Ensemble-spread  Brier score  Reliability diagram  
More reliable coastal SST forecasts from the North American multimodel ensemble 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (12) : 7153-7168
作者:  Hervieux, G.;  Alexander, M. A.;  Stock, C. A.;  Jacox, M. G.;  Pegion, K.;  Becker, E.;  Castruccio, F.;  Tommasi, D.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：10/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
Seasonal prediction  SST anomaly  Coastal ecosystems  Climate models  Multimodel ensemble forecast  
Calibration and combination of monthly near-surface temperature and precipitation predictions over Europe 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (12) : 7305-7320
作者:  Rodrigues, Luis R. L.;  Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J.;  Coelho, Caio A. S.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：11/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
Climate prediction  Multimodel ensemble  Forecast quality assessment  Forecast assimilation  
NMME-based hybrid prediction of Atlantic hurricane season activity 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (12) : 7267-7285
作者:  Harnos, Daniel S.;  Schemm, Jae-Kyung E.;  Wang, Hui;  Finan, Christina A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：9/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
Tropical cyclone  Hurricane  Typhoon  North American Multimodel Ensemble  Interannual variability  Seasonal prediction  
Understanding the Signal-to-Noise Paradox with a Simple Markov Model 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (22) : 13308-13317
作者:  Zhang, Wei;  Kirtman, Ben
收藏  |  浏览/下载：8/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
Signal-to-noise paradox  Climate prediction  Markov model  CMIP5 models  Ensemble forecast  
Stratospheric Initial Condition for Skillful Surface Prediction in the ECMWF Model 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (21) : 12556-12564
作者:  Choi, Jung;  Son, Seok-Woo
收藏  |  浏览/下载：7/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
S2S prediction  ECMWF ensemble prediction system  Stratospheric initial conditions  
How does ENSO diversity limit the skill of tropical Pacific precipitation forecasts in dynamical seasonal predictions? 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 5815-5831
作者:  Sohn, Soo-Jin;  Tam, Chi-Yung;  Kug, Jong-Seong
收藏  |  浏览/下载：8/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
ENSO diversity  ENSO prediction  SST forecast  Tropical Pacific precipitation forecast  Dynamical seasonal prediction  Multimodal ensemble  
Improving Arctic sea ice seasonal outlook by ensemble prediction using an ice-ocean model 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2019, 227: 14-23
作者:  Yang, Qinghua;  Mu, Longjiang;  Wu, Xingren;  Liu, Jiping;  Zheng, Fei;  Zhang, Jinlun;  Li, Chuanjin
收藏  |  浏览/下载：8/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Seasonal sea ice prediction  Ensemble forecast  Sea ice thickness  Data assimilation  
Multi-model seasonal forecasts for the wind energy sector 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 2715-2729
作者:  Lee, Doo Young;  Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J.;  Torralba, Veronica;  Gonzalez-Reviriego, Nube
收藏  |  浏览/下载：7/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Seasonal prediction systems  Statistical post-processing  Multi-model ensemble  10 m wind speed  Forecast verification  
Ensemble flood forecasting based on a coupled atmospheric-hydrological modeling system with data assimilation 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2019, 224: 127-137
作者:  Tian, Jiyang;  Liu, Jia;  Yan, Denghua;  Ding, Liuqian;  Li, Chuanzhe
收藏  |  浏览/下载：10/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Numerical weather prediction  Data assimilation  Rainfall-runoff model  Atmospheric-hydrological modeling system  Ensemble flood forecasting