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BAMS刊文概述极端事件的物理驱动因素和可预测性 快报文章
气候变化快报，2022年第06期
作者:  秦冰雪
Microsoft Word(16Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：818/0  |  提交时间：2022/03/20
Extreme Events  S2S  Predictability  
The Madden-Julian Oscillation Affects Maize Yields Throughout the Tropics and Subtropics 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (11)
作者:  Anderson, W. B.;  Han, E.;  Baethgen, W.;  Goddard, L.;  Munoz, A. G.;  Robertson, A. W.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：20/0  |  提交时间：2020/05/13
Madden-Julian Oscillation  crop failure  S2S  food security  drought  subseasonal  
Deterministic Skill of Subseasonal Precipitation Forecasts for the East Africa-West Asia Sector from September to May 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2019, 124 (22) : 11887-11896
作者:  Vigaud, N.;  Tippett, M. K.;  Robertson, A. W.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：23/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
S2S rainfall forecasts show statistically significant skill in the East Africa-West Asia sector out to Week 4  Forecast skill of dynamical models exceeds that of statistical models based on ENSO and the MJO  Tropical-temperate interactions may represent a new source of S2S predictability  
Impact of the QBO on Prediction and Predictability of the MJO Convection 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2019, 124 (22) : 11766-11782
作者:  Wang, Shuguang;  Tippett, Michael K.;  Sobel, Adam H.;  Martin, Zane K.;  Vitart, Frederic
收藏  |  浏览/下载：24/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
MJO  QBO  S2S  BSISO  prediction  predictability  
The 2019 New Year Stratospheric Sudden Warming and Its Real-Time Predictions in Multiple S2S Models 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2019, 124 (21) : 11155-11174
作者:  Rao, Jian;  Garfinkel, Chaim I.;  Chen, Haishan;  White, Ian P.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：15/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
stratospheric sudden warming (SSW)  2019 SSW  North Pacific  predictability  sub-seasonal to seasonal (S2S)  
Stratospheric Initial Condition for Skillful Surface Prediction in the ECMWF Model 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (21) : 12556-12564
作者:  Choi, Jung;  Son, Seok-Woo
收藏  |  浏览/下载：19/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
S2S prediction  ECMWF ensemble prediction system  Stratospheric initial conditions  
Tropospheric and Stratospheric Causal Pathways Between the MJO and NAO 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2019, 124 (16) : 9356-9371
作者:  Barnes, Elizabeth A.;  Samarasinghe, Savini M.;  Ebert-Uphoff, Imme;  Furtado, Jason C.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：20/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
MJO  NAO  causal discovery  S2S prediction  
Influence of the QBO on MJO prediction skill in the subseasonal-to-seasonal prediction models 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 1681-1695
作者:  Lim, Yuna;  Son, Seok-Woo;  Marshall, Andrew G.;  Hendon, Harry H.;  Seo, Kyong-Hwan
收藏  |  浏览/下载：15/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO)  Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO)  QBO-MJO link  Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) prediction  
Global precipitation hindcast quality assessment of the Subseasonal to Seasonal (S2S) prediction project models 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 5451-5475
作者:  de Andrade, Felipe M.;  Coelho, Caio A. S.;  Cavalcanti, Iracema F. A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：14/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/26
Subseasonal prediction  S2S prediction project models  Hindcast quality  Precipitation  Teleconnections  
Comparison of Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Model Forecasts for Major Stratospheric Sudden Warmings 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2018, 123 (18) : 10212-10228
作者:  Taguchi, M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：11/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
MSSW forecasts  S2S prediction data archive