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Evaluation of NMME temperature and precipitation bias and forecast skill for South Asia 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (12) : 7363-7380
作者:  Cash, Benjamin A.;  Manganello, Julia V.;  Kinter, James L., III
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Monsoon  ENSO  Forecast skill  
GEOS-5 seasonal forecast system 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (12) : 7335-7361
作者:  Borovikov, Anna;  Cullather, Richard;  Kovach, Robin;  Marshak, Jelena;  Vernieres, Guillaume;  Vikhliaev, Yury;  Zhao, Bin;  Li, Zhao
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Global forecast  Seasonal prediction  NMME  GEOS-5  ENSO  Forecast skill  
Deterministic Skill of Subseasonal Precipitation Forecasts for the East Africa-West Asia Sector from September to May 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2019, 124 (22) : 11887-11896
作者:  Vigaud, N.;  Tippett, M. K.;  Robertson, A. W.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
S2S rainfall forecasts show statistically significant skill in the East Africa-West Asia sector out to Week 4  Forecast skill of dynamical models exceeds that of statistical models based on ENSO and the MJO  Tropical-temperate interactions may represent a new source of S2S predictability  
Skilful seasonal prediction of winter wind speeds in China 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 3937-3955
作者:  Lockwood, Julia F.;  Thornton, Hazel E.;  Dunstone, Nick;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Bett, Philip E.;  Li, Chaofan;  Ren, Hong-Li
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Seasonal forecasting  Forecast verification/skill  Wind  Asia  
Statistical Learning Methods as a Basis for Skillful Seasonal Temperature Forecasts in Europe 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (17) : 5363-5379
作者:  Kamarainen, Matti;  Uotila, Petteri;  Karpechko, Alexey Yu.;  Hyvarinen, Otto;  Lehtonen, Ilari;  Raisanen, Jouni
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Europe  Principal components analysis  Forecast verification  skill  Seasonal forecasting  Statistical forecasting  Decadal variability  
Indian summer monsoon onset forecast skill in the UK Met Office initialized coupled seasonal forecasting system (GloSea5-GC2) 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52 (11) : 6599-6617
作者:  Chevuturi, Amulya;  Turner, Andrew G.;  Woolnough, Steven J.;  Martin, Gill M.;  MacLachlan, Craig
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Indian summer monsoon  Monsoon onset  GloSea5-GC2  Forecast skill  ENSO  
Validity of parameter optimization in improving MJO simulation and prediction using the sub-seasonal to seasonal forecast model of Beijing Climate Center 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 3823-3843
作者:  Liu, Xiangwen;  Li, Weijing;  Wu, Tongwen;  Li, Tim;  Gu, Weizong;  Bo, Zongkai;  Yang, Beng;  Zhang, Li;  Jie, Weihua
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Parameter optimization  MJO simulation  MJO forecast skill  Improvement  
Challenges in predicting and simulating summer rainfall in the eastern China 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 2217-2233
作者:  Liang, Ping;  Hu, Zeng-Zhen;  Liu, Yunyun;  Yuan, Xing;  Li, Xiaofan;  Jiang, Xingwen
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Summer rainfall forecast  Eastern China  Perfect model skill  Internal variability and SST forcing  Model and reanalysis biases  
Precipitation Prediction Skill for the West Coast United States: From Short to Extended Range 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (1) : 161-182
作者:  Pan, Baoxiang;  Hsu, Kuolin;  AghaKouchak, Amir;  Sorooshian, Soroosh;  Higgins, Wayne
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
La Nina  Madden-Julian oscillation  Forecast verification  skill  Hindcasts  Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting (PQPF)  Short-range prediction  
On the Harvest of Predictability From Land States in a Global Forecast Model 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2018, 123 (23) : 13111-13127
作者:  Dirmeyer, Paul A.;  Halder, Subhadeep;  Bombardi, Rodrigo
收藏  |  浏览/下载:3/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
predictability  forecast skill  subseasonal  prediction