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Patterns and trends of Northern Hemisphere snow mass from 1980 to 2018 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 581 (7808) : 294-+
作者:  Ibrahim, Nizar;  Maganuco, Simone;  Dal Sasso, Cristiano;  Fabbri, Matteo;  Auditore, Marco;  Bindellini, Gabriele;  Martill, David M.;  Zouhri, Samir;  Mattarelli, Diego A.;  Unwin, David M.;  Wiemann, Jasmina;  Bonadonna, Davide;  Amane, Ayoub;  Jakubczak, Juliana;  Joger, Ulrich;  Lauder, George V.;  Pierce, Stephanie E.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:18/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/25

Warming surface temperatures have driven a substantial reduction in the extent and duration of Northern Hemisphere snow cover(1-3). These changes in snow cover affect Earth'  s climate system via the surface energy budget, and influence freshwater resources across a large proportion of the Northern Hemisphere(4-6). In contrast to snow extent, reliable quantitative knowledge on seasonal snow mass and its trend is lacking(7-9). Here we use the new GlobSnow 3.0 dataset to show that the 1980-2018 annual maximum snow mass in the Northern Hemisphere was, on average, 3,062 +/- 35 billion tonnes (gigatonnes). Our quantification is for March (the month that most closely corresponds to peak snow mass), covers non-alpine regions above 40 degrees N and, crucially, includes a bias correction based on in-field snow observations. We compare our GlobSnow 3.0 estimates with three independent estimates of snow mass, each with and without the bias correction. Across the four datasets, the bias correction decreased the range from 2,433-3,380 gigatonnes (mean 2,867) to 2,846-3,062 gigatonnes (mean 2,938)-a reduction in uncertainty from 33% to 7.4%. On the basis of our bias-corrected GlobSnow 3.0 estimates, we find different continental trends over the 39-year satellite record. For example, snow mass decreased by 46 gigatonnes per decade across North America but had a negligible trend across Eurasia  both continents exhibit high regional variability. Our results enable a better estimation of the role of seasonal snow mass in Earth'  s energy, water and carbon budgets.


Applying a bias correction to a state-of-the-art dataset covering non-alpine regions of the Northern Hemisphere and to three other datasets yields a more constrained quantification of snow mass in March from 1980 to 2018.


  
Detection of metastable electronic states by Penning trap mass spectrometry 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 581 (7806) : 42-+
作者:  Rauch, Jennifer N.;  Luna, Gabriel;  Guzman, Elmer;  Audouard, Morgane;  Challis, Collin;  Sibih, Youssef E.;  Leshuk, Carolina;  Hernandez, Israel;  Wegmann, Susanne;  Hyman, Bradley T.;  Gradinaru, Viviana;  Kampmann, Martin;  Kosik, Kenneth S.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

State-of-the-art optical clocks(1) achieve precisions of 10(-18) or better using ensembles of atoms in optical lattices(2,3) or individual ions in radio-frequency traps(4,5). Promising candidates for use in atomic clocks are highly charged ions(6) (HCIs) and nuclear transitions(7), which are largely insensitive to external perturbations and reach wavelengths beyond the optical range(8) that are accessible to frequency combs(9). However, insufficiently accurate atomic structure calculations hinder the identification of suitable transitions in HCIs. Here we report the observation of a long-lived metastable electronic state in an HCI by measuring the mass difference between the ground and excited states in rhenium, providing a non-destructive, direct determination of an electronic excitation energy. The result is in agreement with advanced calculations. We use the high-precision Penning trap mass spectrometer PENTATRAP to measure the cyclotron frequency ratio of the ground state to the metastable state of the ion with a precision of 10(-11)-an improvement by a factor of ten compared with previous measurements(10,11). With a lifetime of about 130 days, the potential soft-X-ray frequency reference at 4.96 x 10(16) hertz (corresponding to a transition energy of 202 electronvolts) has a linewidth of only 5 x 10(-8) hertz and one of the highest electronic quality factors (10(24)) measured experimentally so far. The low uncertainty of our method will enable searches for further soft-X-ray clock transitions(8,12) in HCIs, which are required for precision studies of fundamental physics(6).


Penning trap mass spectrometry is used to measure the electronic transition energy from a long-lived metastable state to the ground state in highly charged rhenium ions with a precision of 10(-11).


  
A new coronavirus associated with human respiratory disease in China 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 579 (7798) : 265-+
作者:  Rollie, Clare;  Chevallereau, Anne;  Watson, Bridget N. J.;  Chyou, Te-yuan;  Fradet, Olivier;  McLeod, Isobel;  Fineran, Peter C.;  Brown, Chris M.;  Gandon, Sylvain;  Westra, Edze R.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:56/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

Emerging infectious diseases, such as severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) and Zika virus disease, present a major threat to public health(1-3). Despite intense research efforts, how, when and where new diseases appear are still a source of considerable uncertainty. A severe respiratory disease was recently reported in Wuhan, Hubei province, China. As of 25 January 2020, at least 1,975 cases had been reported since the first patient was hospitalized on 12 December 2019. Epidemiological investigations have suggested that the outbreak was associated with a seafood market in Wuhan. Here we study a single patient who was a worker at the market and who was admitted to the Central Hospital of Wuhan on 26 December 2019 while experiencing a severe respiratory syndrome that included fever, dizziness and a cough. Metagenomic RNA sequencing(4) of a sample of bronchoalveolar lavage fluid from the patient identified a new RNA virus strain from the family Coronaviridae, which is designated here '  WH-Human 1'  coronavirus (and has also been referred to as '  2019-nCoV'  ). Phylogenetic analysis of the complete viral genome (29,903 nucleotides) revealed that the virus was most closely related (89.1% nucleotide similarity) to a group of SARS-like coronaviruses (genus Betacoronavirus, subgenus Sarbecovirus) that had previously been found in bats in China(5). This outbreak highlights the ongoing ability of viral spill-over from animals to cause severe disease in humans.


  
Projection and uncertainty of precipitation extremes in the CMIP5 multimodel ensembles over nine major basins in China 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2019, 226: 122-137
作者:  Xu, Kai;  Xu, Bingbo;  Ju, Jiali;  Wu, Chuanhao;  Dai, Heng;  Hu, Bill X.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Precipitation extremes  Projected changes  Uncertainty  ETCCDI  CMIP5  China  
Marine ice sheet instability amplifies and skews uncertainty in projections of future sea-level rise 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2019, 116 (30) : 14887-14892
作者:  Robel, Alexander A.;  Seroussi, Helene;  Roe, Gerard H.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:17/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
ice sheet  climate variability  sea level  uncertainty  
Selection of climate models for projection of spatiotemporal changes in temperature of Iraq with uncertainties 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2018, 213: 509-522
作者:  Salman, Saleem A.;  Shahid, Shamsuddin;  Ismail, Tarmizi;  Ahmed, Kamal;  Wang, Xiao-Jun
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Temperature  Global circulation models  Systematic uncertainty  Representative concentration pathways  Quantile regression  Iraq  
Precipitation intensity-duration-frequency curves for central Belgium with an ensemble of EURO-CORDEX simulations, and associated uncertainties 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2018, 200: 1-12
作者:  Hosseinzadehtalaei, Parisa;  Tabari, Hossein;  Willems, Patrick
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Extreme precipitation  Future IDF curves  Climate model resolution  Quantile perturbation downscaling  Variance decomposition  Uncertainty analysis  
Estimating radar reflectivity - Snowfall rate relationships and their uncertainties over Antarctica by combining disdrometer and radar observations 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2017, 196
作者:  Souverijns, N.;  Gossart, A.;  Lhermitte, S.;  Gorodetskaya, I. V.;  Kneifel, S.;  Maahn, M.;  Bliven, F. L.;  van Lipzig, N. P. M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Antarctica  Disdrometer  Snowfall rate  Radar  Uncertainty quantification  
Application of Monte Carlo Methods to Perform Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis on Inverse Water-Rock Reactions with NETPATH 科技报告
来源:US Department of Energy (DOE). 出版年: 2016
作者:  McGraw, David;  Hershey, Ronald L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/05
Methods were developed to quantify uncertainty and sensitivity for NETPATH inverse water-rock reaction models and to calculate dissolved inorganic carbon  carbon-14 groundwater travel times. The NETPATH models calculate upgradient groundwater mixing fract  
Climate Uncertainty Quantification at LANL 科技报告
来源:US Department of Energy (DOE). 出版年: 2016
作者:  Urban, Nathan Mark
收藏  |  浏览/下载:1/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/05
Earth Sciences  Mathematics  climate uncertainty quantification statistics