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Climate prediction of summer extreme precipitation frequency in the Yangtze River valley based on sea surface temperature in the southern Indian Ocean and ice concentration in the Beaufort Sea 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019
作者:  Tian, Baoqiang;  Fan, Ke
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Beaufort Sea  climate prediction  extreme heavy precipitation  sea-ice concentration  southern Indian Ocean  SST  Yangtze River valley  
Sensitivity of Marine Heatwave Metrics to Ocean Model Resolution 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019
作者:  Pilo, Gabriela S.;  Holbrook, Neil J.;  Kiss, Andrew E.;  Hogg, Andrew McC.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
marine heatwave  global ocean-sea ice model  model resolution  temperature extremes  
Antarctic Sea Ice Expansion, Driven by Internal Variability, in the Presence of Increasing Atmospheric CO2 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019
作者:  Singh, H. A.;  Polvani, L. M.;  Rasch, P. J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Internal Variability  Sea Ice  Antarctica  Southern Ocean  Satellite Era  Atmosphere-Ocean-Ice Interactions  
Mass balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet from 1992 to 2018 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 579 (7798) : 233-+
作者:  Scudellari, Megan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

The Greenland Ice Sheet has been a major contributor to global sea-level rise in recent decades(1,2), and it is expected to continue to be so(3). Although increases in glacier flow(4-6) and surface melting(7-9) have been driven by oceanic(10-12) and atmospheric(13,14) warming, the magnitude and trajectory of the ice sheet'  s mass imbalance remain uncertain. Here we compare and combine 26 individual satellite measurements of changes in the ice sheet'  s volume, flow and gravitational potential to produce a reconciled estimate of its mass balance. The ice sheet was close to a state of balance in the 1990s, but annual losses have risen since then, peaking at 345 +/- 66 billion tonnes per year in 2011. In all, Greenland lost 3,902 +/- 342 billion tonnes of ice between 1992 and 2018, causing the mean sea level to rise by 10.8 +/- 0.9 millimetres. Using three regional climate models, we show that the reduced surface mass balance has driven 1,964 +/- 565 billion tonnes (50.3 per cent) of the ice loss owing to increased meltwater runoff. The remaining 1,938 +/- 541 billion tonnes (49.7 per cent) of ice loss was due to increased glacier dynamical imbalance, which rose from 46 +/- 37 billion tonnes per year in the 1990s to 87 +/- 25 billion tonnes per year since then. The total rate of ice loss slowed to 222 +/- 30 billion tonnes per year between 2013 and 2017, on average, as atmospheric circulation favoured cooler conditions(15) and ocean temperatures fell at the terminus of Jakobshavn Isbr AE(16). Cumulative ice losses from Greenland as a whole have been close to the rates predicted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for their high-end climate warming scenario(17), which forecast an additional 70 to 130 millimetres of global sea-level rise by 2100 compared with their central estimate.


  
Incorporation of satellite-derived thin-ice data into a global OGCM simulation 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (11) : 7113-7130
作者:  Toyoda, Takahiro;  Iwamoto, Katsushi;  Urakawa, L. Shogo;  Tsujino, Hiroyuki;  Nakano, Hideyuki;  Sakamoto, Kei;  Yamanaka, Goro;  Komuro, Yoshiki;  Nishino, Shigeto;  Ukita, Jinro
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Sea ice  Arctic Ocean  Thin sea ice  Ocean reanalysis  
Decadal variability of northern Asian winter monsoon shaped by the 11-year solar cycle 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (11) : 6559-6568
作者:  Jin, Chunhan;  Wang, Bin;  Liu, Jian;  Ning, Liang;  Yan, Mi
收藏  |  浏览/下载:46/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
11-year solar cycle  Asian winter monsoon  Decadal variation  Arctic sea ice  Arctic warming  
How Tropical Pacific Surface Cooling Contributed to Accelerated Sea Ice Melt from 2007 to 2012 as Ice Is Thinned by Anthropogenic Forcing 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (24) : 8583-8602
作者:  Baxter, Ian;  39;Heureux, Michelle
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Arctic  Sea ice  Atmospheric circulation  Teleconnections  Climate variability  Decadal variability  
Diagnosing sea ice from the north american multi model ensemble and implications on mid-latitude winter climate 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (12) : 7237-7250
作者:  Elders, Akiko;  Pegion, Kathy
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Arctic  Sea ice  Climate change  Mid-latitude winter weather  North American Multi-Model Ensemble  
Reconstructing spring sea ice concentration in the Chukchi Sea over recent centuries: insights into the application of the PIP25 index 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 14 (12)
作者:  Kim, Jung-Hyun;  Gal, Jong-Ku;  Jun, Sang-Yoon;  Smik, Lukas;  Kim, Dahae;  Belt, Simon T.;  Park, Kwangkyu;  Shin, Kyung-Hoon;  Nam, Seung-Il
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
sea ice  HBIs  IP25  epi-brassicasterol  dinosterol  PIP25 index  Chukchi Sea  
Antarctic sea-ice variation associated with vertical geopotential height and temperature anomalies 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019, 39 (14) : 5380-5395
作者:  Qian, Weihong;  Wu, Kaijun;  Leung, Jeremy Cheuk-Hin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Antarctica sea ice anomaly  extreme year  geopotential height anomaly  long-term trend  temperature anomaly