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Projected spatial patterns in precipitation and air temperature for China's northwest region derived from high-resolution regional climate models 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019
作者:  Yin, Zhenliang;  Feng, Qi;  Yang, Linshan;  Deo, Ravinesh C.;  Adamowski, Jan F.;  Wen, Xiaohu;  Jia, Bing;  Si, Jianhua
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
climate change  CORDEX-EA  northwestern China  precipitation and temperature projection  regional climate models  
No Cookie for Climate Change 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019
作者:  Voigt, A.;  Albern, N.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
clouds  radiation  climate change  circulation  global models  
Optimal configuration and resolution for the first convection-permitting ensemble of climate projections over the United Kingdom 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019
作者:  Fosser, Giorgia;  Kendon, Elizabeth;  Chan, Steven;  Lock, Adrian;  Roberts, Nigel;  Bush, Mike
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
climate  convection-permitting models  physical process configuration  rainfall  UKCP18 ensemble  
Evaluating the CMIP5 ensemble in Ethiopia: Creating a reduced ensemble for rainfall and temperature in Northwest Ethiopia and the Awash basin 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019
作者:  Dyer, Ellen;  Washington, Richard;  Taye, Meron Teferi
收藏  |  浏览/下载:17/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
climate  ensembles  general circulation models  policy  rainfall  seasonal  tropics  
Mass balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet from 1992 to 2018 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 579 (7798) : 233-+
作者:  Scudellari, Megan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

The Greenland Ice Sheet has been a major contributor to global sea-level rise in recent decades(1,2), and it is expected to continue to be so(3). Although increases in glacier flow(4-6) and surface melting(7-9) have been driven by oceanic(10-12) and atmospheric(13,14) warming, the magnitude and trajectory of the ice sheet'  s mass imbalance remain uncertain. Here we compare and combine 26 individual satellite measurements of changes in the ice sheet'  s volume, flow and gravitational potential to produce a reconciled estimate of its mass balance. The ice sheet was close to a state of balance in the 1990s, but annual losses have risen since then, peaking at 345 +/- 66 billion tonnes per year in 2011. In all, Greenland lost 3,902 +/- 342 billion tonnes of ice between 1992 and 2018, causing the mean sea level to rise by 10.8 +/- 0.9 millimetres. Using three regional climate models, we show that the reduced surface mass balance has driven 1,964 +/- 565 billion tonnes (50.3 per cent) of the ice loss owing to increased meltwater runoff. The remaining 1,938 +/- 541 billion tonnes (49.7 per cent) of ice loss was due to increased glacier dynamical imbalance, which rose from 46 +/- 37 billion tonnes per year in the 1990s to 87 +/- 25 billion tonnes per year since then. The total rate of ice loss slowed to 222 +/- 30 billion tonnes per year between 2013 and 2017, on average, as atmospheric circulation favoured cooler conditions(15) and ocean temperatures fell at the terminus of Jakobshavn Isbr AE(16). Cumulative ice losses from Greenland as a whole have been close to the rates predicted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for their high-end climate warming scenario(17), which forecast an additional 70 to 130 millimetres of global sea-level rise by 2100 compared with their central estimate.


  
Projected Changes in Daily Variability and Seasonal Cycle of Near-Surface Air Temperature over the Globe during the Twenty-First Century 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (24) : 8537-8561
作者:  Chen, Jiao;  Dai, Aiguo;  Zhang, Yaocun
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
General circulation models  Climate variability  Seasonal variability  Trends  
Variations in ozone and greenhouse gases as drivers of Southern Hemisphere climate in a medium-complexity global climate model 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (11) : 6645-6663
作者:  Saurral, Ramiro I.;  Kucharski, Fred;  Raggio, Gabriela A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Ozone and greenhouse gases  Southern Hemisphere  Moisture budget  SPEEDY  Global climate models  
Black Carbon Increases Frequency of Extreme ENSO Events 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (23) : 8323-8333
作者:  Lou, Sijia;  Yang, Yang;  Wang, Hailong;  Lu, Jian;  Smith, Steven J.;  Liu, Fukai;  Rasch, Philip J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
ENSO  Climate models  Aerosol radiative effect  Primary aerosol  
More reliable coastal SST forecasts from the North American multimodel ensemble 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (12) : 7153-7168
作者:  Hervieux, G.;  Alexander, M. A.;  Stock, C. A.;  Jacox, M. G.;  Pegion, K.;  Becker, E.;  Castruccio, F.;  Tommasi, D.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Seasonal prediction  SST anomaly  Coastal ecosystems  Climate models  Multimodel ensemble forecast  
The Influence of Remote Aerosol Forcing from Industrialized Economies on the Future Evolution of East and West African Rainfall 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (23) : 8335-8354
作者:  Scannell, Claire;  Booth, Ben B. B.;  Dunstone, Nick J.;  Rowell, David P.;  Bernie, Dan J.;  Kasoar, Matthew;  Voulgarakis, Apostolos;  Wilcox, Laura J.;  Acosta Navarro, Juan C.;  Seland, Oyvind;  Paynter, David J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Atmosphere  Africa  Precipitation  Aerosols  Climate models  Climate variability