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Constraining Uncertainty in Aerosol Direct Forcing 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (9)
作者:  Watson-Parris, D.;  Bellouin, N.;  Deaconu, L. T.;  Schutgens, N. A. J.;  Yoshioka, M.;  Regayre, L. A.;  Pringle, K. J.;  Johnson, J. S.;  Smith, C. J.;  Carslaw, K. S.;  Stier, P.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
aerosol  forcing  
Environmental Controls on Tropical Sea Breeze Convection and Resulting Aerosol Redistribution 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2020, 125 (6)
作者:  Park, J. M.;  van den Heever, S. C.;  Igel, A. L.;  Grant, L. D.;  Johnson, J. S.;  Saleeby, S. M.;  Miller, S. D.;  Reid, J. S.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
sea breeze  tropical convection  perturbed parameter ensemble  mesoscale dynamics  coastal zones  land  ocean  atmosphere interactions  
Assessing Uncertainty in the Dynamical Ice Response to Ocean Warming in the Amundsen Sea Embayment, West Antarctica 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019
作者:  Nias, Isabel J.;  Cornford, Stephen L.;  Edwards, Tamsin L.;  Gourmelen, Noel;  Payne, Antony J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
sea-level rise  Antarctica  grounding lines  ice sheet modeling  calibration  
Finding plausible and diverse variants of a climate model. Part1: establishing the relationship between errors at weather and climate time scales 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 989-1022
作者:  Sexton, D. M. H.;  Karmalkar, A. V.;  Murphy, J. M.;  Williams, K. D.;  Boutle, I. A.;  Morcrette, C. J.;  Stirling, A. J.;  Vosper, S. B.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Perturbed parameter ensembles  Transpose AMIP  Model development  Sensitivity analysis  Elicitation  
Finding plausible and diverse variants of a climate model. Part II: development and validation of methodology 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 847-877
作者:  Karmalkar, Ambarish V.;  Sexton, David M. H.;  Murphy, James M.;  Booth, Ben B. B.;  Rostron, John W.;  McNeall, Doug J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Uncertainty  Perturbed parameter ensemble  Seamless assessment  Statistical emulation  Filtering parameter space  Plausible model variants  
Validity of parameter optimization in improving MJO simulation and prediction using the sub-seasonal to seasonal forecast model of Beijing Climate Center 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 3823-3843
作者:  Liu, Xiangwen;  Li, Weijing;  Wu, Tongwen;  Li, Tim;  Gu, Weizong;  Bo, Zongkai;  Yang, Beng;  Zhang, Li;  Jie, Weihua
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Parameter optimization  MJO simulation  MJO forecast skill  Improvement  
Parametric Sensitivity and Uncertainty Quantification in the Version 1 of E3SM Atmosphere Model Based on Short Perturbed Parameter Ensemble Simulations 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2018, 123 (23) : 13046-13073
作者:  Qian, Yun;  Wan, Hui;  Yang, Ben;  Golaz, Jean-Christophe;  Harrop, Bryce;  Hou, Zhangshuan;  Larson, Vincent E.;  Leung, L. Ruby;  Lin, Guangxing;  Lin, Wuyin;  Ma, Po-Lun;  Ma, Hsi-Yen;  Rasch, Phil;  Singh, Balwinder;  Wang, Hailong;  Xie, Shaocheng;  Zhang, Kai
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
parametric sensitivity  uncertainty quantification  E3SM  PPE  short simulations  sensitivity analysis  
Uncertainty Analysis of Simulations of the Turn-of-the-Century Drought in the Western United States 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2018, 123 (23) : 13219-13237
作者:  Anderson, Gemma J.;  Lucas, Donald D.;  Bonfils, Celine
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
drought  uncertainty quantification  western United States  CAM4  
Finding Ocean States That Are Consistent with Observations from a Perturbed Physics Parameter Ensemble 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2018, 31 (12) : 4639-4656
作者:  Sparrow, Sarah;  Millar, Richard J.;  Yamazaki, Kuniko;  Massey, Neil;  Povey, Adam C.;  Bowery, Andy;  Grainger, Roy G.;  Wallom, David;  Allen, Myles
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Machine Learning Predictions of a Multiresolution Climate Model Ensemble 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 45 (9) : 4273-4280
作者:  Anderson, Gemma J.;  Lucas, Donald D.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09