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Assessing Uncertainty in the Dynamical Ice Response to Ocean Warming in the Amundsen Sea Embayment, West Antarctica 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019
作者:  Nias, Isabel J.;  Cornford, Stephen L.;  Edwards, Tamsin L.;  Gourmelen, Noel;  Payne, Antony J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：10/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
sea-level rise  Antarctica  grounding lines  ice sheet modeling  calibration  
Evaluation of global simulations of aerosol particle and cloud condensation nuclei number, with implications for cloud droplet formation 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS, 2019, 19 (13) : 8591-8617
作者:  Fanourgakis, George S.;  Kanakidou, Maria;  Nenes, Athanasios;  Bauer, Susanne E.;  Bergman, Tommi;  Carslaw, Ken S.;  Grini, Alf;  Hamilton, Douglas S.;  Johnson, Jill S.;  Karydis, Vlassis A.;  Kirkevag, Alf;  Kodros, John K.;  Lohmann, Ulrike;  Luo, Gan;  Makkonen, Risto;  Matsui, Hitoshi;  Neubauer, David;  Pierce, Jeffrey R.;  Schmale, Julia;  Stier, Philip;  Tsigaridis, Kostas;  van Noije, Twan;  Wang, Hailong;  Watson-Parris, Duncan;  Westervelt, Daniel M.;  Yang, Yang;  Yoshioka, Masaru;  Daskalakis, Nikos;  Decesari, Stefano;  Gysel-Beer, Martin;  Kalivitis, Nikos;  Liu, Xiaohong;  Mahowald, Natalie M.;  Myriokefalitakis, Stelios;  Schrodner, Roland;  Sfakianaki, Maria;  Tsimpidi, Alexandra P.;  Wu, Mingxuan;  Yu, Fangqun
收藏  |  浏览/下载：20/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Finding plausible and diverse variants of a climate model. Part1: establishing the relationship between errors at weather and climate time scales 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 989-1022
作者:  Sexton, D. M. H.;  Karmalkar, A. V.;  Murphy, J. M.;  Williams, K. D.;  Boutle, I. A.;  Morcrette, C. J.;  Stirling, A. J.;  Vosper, S. B.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：7/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Perturbed parameter ensembles  Transpose AMIP  Model development  Sensitivity analysis  Elicitation  
Finding plausible and diverse variants of a climate model. Part II: development and validation of methodology 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 847-877
作者:  Karmalkar, Ambarish V.;  Sexton, David M. H.;  Murphy, James M.;  Booth, Ben B. B.;  Rostron, John W.;  McNeall, Doug J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：7/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Uncertainty  Perturbed parameter ensemble  Seamless assessment  Statistical emulation  Filtering parameter space  Plausible model variants  
Assessing the Influence of Microphysical and Environmental Parameter Perturbations on Orographic Precipitation 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2019, 76 (5) : 1373-1395
作者:  Morales, Annareli;  Posselt, Derek J.;  Morrison, Hugh;  He, Fei
收藏  |  浏览/下载：5/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/26
On the Relative Sensitivity of a Tropical Deep Convective Storm to Changes in Environment and Cloud Microphysical Parameters 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2019, 76 (4) : 1163-1185
作者:  Posselt, Derek J.;  He, Fei;  Bukowski, Jennifer;  Reid, Jeffrey S.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：5/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/26
Deep convection  Cloud microphysics  Sensitivity studies  Cloud parameterizations  Data assimilation  Ensembles  
A comparison of the rainfall forecasting skills of the WRF ensemble forecasting system using SPCPT and other cumulus parameterization error representation schemes 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2019, 218: 160-175
作者:  Wu, Tianjie;  Min, Jinzhong;  Wu, Shu
收藏  |  浏览/下载：8/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Ensemble forecasts  Stochastic perturbed parameterization tendency  Cumulus parameterization  Precipitation  
Validity of parameter optimization in improving MJO simulation and prediction using the sub-seasonal to seasonal forecast model of Beijing Climate Center 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 3823-3843
作者:  Liu, Xiangwen;  Li, Weijing;  Wu, Tongwen;  Li, Tim;  Gu, Weizong;  Bo, Zongkai;  Yang, Beng;  Zhang, Li;  Jie, Weihua
收藏  |  浏览/下载：10/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/26
Parameter optimization  MJO simulation  MJO forecast skill  Improvement