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Trough geometry was a greater influence than climate-ocean forcing in regulating retreat of the marine-based Irish-Sea Ice Stream 期刊论文
GEOLOGICAL SOCIETY OF AMERICA BULLETIN, 2018, 130: 1981-1999
作者:  Small, David;  Smedley, Rachel K.;  Chiverrell, Richard C.;  Scourse, James D.;  Cofaigh, Colm O.;  Duller, Geoff A. T.;  McCarron, Stephen;  Burke, Matthew J.;  Evans, David J. A.;  Fabel, Derek;  Gheorghiu, Delia M.;  Thomas, Geoff S. P.;  Xu, Sheng;  Clark, Chris D.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:22/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
A Comparison of Methods for Streamflow Uncertainty Estimation 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2018, 54 (10) : 7149-7176
作者:  Kiang, Julie E.;  Gazoorian, Chris;  McMillan, Hilary;  Coxon, Gemma;  Le Coz, Jerome;  Westerberg, Ida K.;  Belleville, Arnaud;  Sevrez, Damien;  Sikorska, Anna E.;  Petersen-Overleir, Asgeir;  Reitan, Trond;  Freer, Jim;  Renard, Benjamin;  Mansanarez, Valentin;  Mason, Robert
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Estimation and Impact Assessment of Input and Parameter Uncertainty in Predicting Groundwater Flow With a Fully Distributed Model 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2018, 54 (9) : 6585-6608
作者:  Mustafa, Syed Md. Touhidul;  Nossent, Jiri;  Ghysels, Gert;  Huysmans, Marijke
收藏  |  浏览/下载:1/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
input uncertainty  groundwater flow model  fully distributed  Bayesian approach  heteroscedasticity  uncertainty quantification  
Neglecting model structural uncertainty underestimates upper tails of flood hazard 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 13 (7)
作者:  Wong, Tony E.;  Klufas, Alexandra;  Srikrishnan, Vivek;  Keller, Klaus
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
coastal flooding  natural hazards  Bayesian statistics  uncertainty  extremes  
Development of Probabilistic Dam Breach Model Using Bayesian Inference 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2018, 54 (7) : 4376-4400
作者:  Peter, S. J.;  Siviglia, A.;  Nagel, J.;  Marelli, S.;  Boes, R. M.;  Vetsch, D.;  Sudret, B.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
dam breach modeling  probabilistic calibration  Bayesian update  Markov chain Monte Carlo  
Criteria to evaluate the validity of multi-model ensemble methods 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2018, 38 (8) : 3432-3438
作者:  Zhang, Xianliang;  Yan, Xiaodong
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Bayesian model averaging  boundary preservation criterion  multi-model ensemble  multiple linear regression  order preservation criterion  
Multihazard Scenarios for Analysis of Compound Extreme Events 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 45 (11) : 5470-5480
作者:  Sadegh, Mojtaba;  Moftakhari, Hamed;  Gupta, Hoshin V.;  Ragno, Elisa;  Mazdiyasni, Omid;  Sanders, Brett;  Matthew, Richard;  AghaKouchak, Amir
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
compound extremes  multihazard scenario  copula  Bayesian inference  uncertainty assessment  
Signature-Domain Calibration of Hydrological Models Using Approximate Bayesian Computation: Theory and Comparison to Existing Applications 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2018, 54 (6) : 4059-4083
作者:  Kavetski, Dmitri;  Fenicia, Fabrizio;  Reichert, Peter;  Albert, Carlo
收藏  |  浏览/下载:3/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
hydrological model calibration  data signature  uncertainty  Bayesian inference  Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC)  GLUE  
Signature-Domain Calibration of Hydrological Models Using Approximate Bayesian Computation: Empirical Analysis of Fundamental Properties 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2018, 54 (6) : 3958-3987
作者:  Fenicia, Fabrizio;  Kavetski, Dmitri;  Reichert, Peter;  Albert, Carlo
收藏  |  浏览/下载:15/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
data signature  Bayesian model calibration  uncertainty  approximate Bayesian computation (ABC)  flow duration curve  flashiness index  
Oil supply shocks and the US economy: An estimated DSGE model 期刊论文
ENERGY POLICY, 2018, 116: 357-372
作者:  Balke, Nathan S.;  Brown, Stephen P. A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Oil supply shocks  DSGE  GDP/oil price elasticity  Bayesian  Estimation