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Emergent constraints on future projections of the western North Pacific Subtropical High 期刊论文
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS, 2020, 11 (1)
作者:  Chen, Xiaolong;  Zhou, Tianjun;  Wu, Peili;  Guo, Zhun;  Wang, Minghuai
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/06/09
The potential to reduce uncertainty in regional runoff projections from climate models 期刊论文
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE, 2019, 9 (12) : 926-+
作者:  Lehner, Flavio;  Wood, Andrew W.;  Vano, Julie A.;  Lawrence, David M.;  Clark, Martyn P.;  Mankin, Justin S.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/16
Projecting marine species range shifts from only temperature can mask climate vulnerability 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019
作者:  McHenry, Jennifer;  Welch, Heather;  Lester, Sarah E.;  Saba, Vincent
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
climate change  habitat suitability models  marine species  range shifts  species vulnerability  
Effects of climate and land-use change scenarios on fire probability during the 21st century in the Brazilian Amazon 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (9) : 2931-2946
作者:  Fonseca, Marisa Gesteira;  Alves, Lincoln Muniz;  Dutra Aguiar, Ana Paula;  Arai, Egidio;  Anderson, Liana Oighenstein;  Rosan, Thais Michele;  Shimabukuro, Yosio Edemir;  Oliveira e Cruz de Aragao, Luiz Eduardo
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
fire modeling  forest degradation  hot pixels  maximum entropy  representative concentration pathway  tropical forest  
Modeling Future Projections of Temperature-Related Excess Morbidity due to Infectious Gastroenteritis under Climate Change Conditions in Japan 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH PERSPECTIVES, 2019, 127 (7)
作者:  Onozuka, Daisuke;  Gasparrini, Antonio;  Sera, Francesco;  Hashizume, Masahiro;  Honda, Yasushi
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Predicting coral community recovery using multi-species population dynamics models 期刊论文
ECOLOGY LETTERS, 2019, 22 (4) : 605-615
作者:  Kayal, Mohsen;  Lenihan, Hunter S.;  Brooks, Andrew J.;  Holbrook, Sally J.;  Schmitt, Russell J.;  Kendall, Bruce E.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Community recovery  coral reefs  density dependence  ecosystem function  elasticity analysis  integral projection model  life-history traits  multi-species demographic model  reassembly  size structure  
Twenty-first-century climate change impacts on marine animal biomass and ecosystem structure across ocean basins 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (2) : 459-472
作者:  Bryndum-Buchholz, Andrea;  Tittensor, Derek P.;  Blanchard, Julia L.;  Cheung, William W. L.;  Coll, Marta;  Galbraith, Eric D.;  Jennings, Simon;  Maury, Olivier;  Lotze, Heike K.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
climate change  ensemble modeling  future projection  marine animal biomass  marine ecosystem models  model intercomparison  ocean basins  uncertainty  
Taking climate model evaluation to the next level 期刊论文
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE, 2019, 9 (2) : 102-110
作者:  Eyring, Veronika;  Cox, Peter M.;  Flato, Gregory M.;  Gleckler, Peter J.;  Abramowitz, Gab;  Caldwell, Peter;  Collins, William D.;  Gier, Bettina K.;  Hall, Alex D.;  Hoffman, Forrest M.;  Hurtt, George C.;  Jahn, Alexandra;  Jones, Chris D.;  Klein, Stephen A.;  Krasting, John P.;  Kwiatkowski, Lester;  Lorenz, Ruth;  Maloney, Eric;  Meehl, Gerald A.;  Pendergrass, Angeline G.;  Pincus, Robert;  Ruane, Alex C.;  Russell, Joellen L.;  Sanderson, Benjamin M.;  Santer, Benjamin D.;  Sherwood, Steven C.;  Simpson, Isla R.;  Stouffer, Ronald J.;  Williamson, Mark S.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:20/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Predicting coral community recovery using multi-species population dynamics models 期刊论文
ECOLOGY LETTERS, 2018, 21 (12) : 1790-1799
作者:  Kayal, Mohsen;  Lenihan, Hunter S.;  Brooks, Andrew J.;  Holbrook, Sally J.;  Schmitt, Russell J.;  Kendall, Bruce E.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Community recovery  coral reefs  density dependence  ecosystem function  elasticity analysis  integral projection model  life-history traits  multi-species demographic model  reassembly  size structure  
A General Methodology for Climate-Informed Approaches to Long-Term Flood ProjectionIllustrated With the Ohio River Basin 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2018, 54 (11) : 9321-9341
作者:  Schlef, Katherine E.;  Francois, Baptiste;  Robertson, Andrew W.;  Brown, Casey
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
flood  climate change  climate-informed  nonstationary  Ohio River Basin  projection