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Tropical Cyclone Intensity Evolution Modeled as a Dependent Hidden Markov Process 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (22) : 7837-7855
作者:  Jing, Renzhi;  Lin, Ning
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Atmosphere  Hurricanes  typhoons  Climatology  Statistical forecasting  Stochastic models  Risk assessment  
Local Atmosphere-Ocean Predictability: Dynamical Origins, Lead Times, and Seasonality 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (21) : 7507-7519
作者:  Bach, Eviatar;  Motesharrei, Safa;  Kalnay, Eugenia;  Ruiz-Barradas, Alfredo
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Atmosphere-ocean interaction  Climate prediction  Statistical techniques  Time series  Short-range prediction  
Temperature-Driven Rise in Extreme Sub-Hourly Rainfall 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (22) : 7597-7609
作者:  Buerger, G.;  Pfister, A.;  Bronstert, A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Extreme events  Rainfall  Climate change  Statistical techniques  Time series  Stochastic models  
Role of Stochastic Atmospheric Forcing from the South and North Pacific in Tropical Pacific Decadal Variability 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (13) : 4013-4038
作者:  Sun, Tianyi;  Okumura, Yuko M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Atmosphere-ocean interaction  Ocean dynamics  Teleconnections  Pacific decadal oscillation  Interdecadal variability  Tropical variability  
A Theory for the Seasonal Predictability Barrier: Threshold, Timing, and Intensity 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (2) : 423-443
作者:  Liu, Zhengyu;  Jin, Yishuai;  Rong, Xinyao
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Climate variability  
The Role of Stochastic Forcing in Generating ENSO Diversity 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2018, 31 (22) : 9125-9150
作者:  Thomas, Erin E.;  Vimont, Daniel J.;  Newman, Matthew;  Penland, Cecile;  Martinez-Villalobos, Cristian
收藏  |  浏览/下载:1/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Atmosphere-ocean interaction  El Nino  ENSO  La Nina  
A Tropical Stochastic Skeleton Model for the MJO, El Nino, and Dynamic Walker Circulation: A Simplified GCM 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2018, 31 (22) : 9261-9282
作者:  Thual, Sulian;  Majda, Andrew J.;  Chen, Nan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:1/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Atmosphere-ocean interaction  ENSO  Madden-Julian oscillation  Statistical techniques  Stochastic models  
On the Dynamical Mechanisms Governing El Nino-Southern Oscillation Irregularity 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2018, 31 (20) : 8401-8419
作者:  Berner, Judith;  Sardeshmukh, Prashant D.;  Christensen, Hannah M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
ENSO  Oscillations  Model errors  Stochastic models  Interannual variability  Tropical variability  
Projection of Landfalling-Tropical Cyclone Rainfall in the Eastern United States under Anthropogenic Warming 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2018, 31 (18) : 7269-7286
作者:  Liu, Maofeng;  Vecchi, Gabriel A.;  Smith, James A.;  Murakami, Hiroyuki
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Rainfall  Tropical cyclones  Climate change  Climate models  
Linking Stochasticity of Convection to Large-Scale Vertical Velocity to Improve Indian Summer Monsoon Simulation in the NCAR CAM5 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2018, 31 (17) : 6985-7002
作者:  Wang, Yong;  Zhang, Guang J.;  Jiang, Yiquan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Monsoons  Climate models  Clouds  Convective parameterization