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Decadal Predictions of the Probability of Occurrence for Warm Summer Temperature Extremes 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (23) : 14042-14051
作者:  Borchert, Leonard F.;  Pohlmann, Holger;  Baehr, Johanna;  Neddermann, Nele-Charlotte;  Suarez-Gutierrez, Laura;  Mueller, Wolfgang A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
climate prediction  European summer climate  extremes  
Understanding the Signal-to-Noise Paradox with a Simple Markov Model 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (22) : 13308-13317
作者:  Zhang, Wei;  Kirtman, Ben
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Signal-to-noise paradox  Climate prediction  Markov model  CMIP5 models  Ensemble forecast  
Skilful Real-Time Seasonal Forecasts of the Dry Northern European Summer 2018 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019
作者:  Dunstone, Nick;  Smith, Doug;  Hardiman, Steven;  Eade, Rosie;  Gordon, Margaret;  Hermanson, Leon;  Kay, Gillian;  Scaife, Adam
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
seasonal prediction  European  rainfall  summer  North Atlantic  
North Atlantic and Pacific Quasi-Stationary Parts of Atmospheric Rivers and Their Implications for East Asian Monsoon Onset 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019
作者:  Lee, Hung-, I;  Mitchell, Jonathan L.;  Tripati, Aradhna;  Lora, Juan M.;  Chen, Gang;  Ding, Qinghua
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
atmospheric rivers  monsoon  Rossby wave breaking  
Improved Predictability of the Indian Ocean Dipole Using Seasonally Modulated ENSO Forcing Forecasts 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (16) : 9980-9990
作者:  Zhao, Sen;  Jin, Fei-Fei;  Stuecker, Malte F.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:3/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Seasonal Prediction Potential for Springtime Dustiness in tine United states 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (15) : 9163-9173
作者:  Pu, Bing;  Ginoux, Paul;  Kapnick, Sarah B.;  Yang, Xiaosong
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
The Decadal Variability of the Global Monsoon Links to the North Atlantic Climate Since 1851 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (15) : 9054-9063
作者:  Han, Tao;  Yu, Kefu;  Yan, Hong;  Yan, Hongqiang;  Tao, Shichen;  Zhang, Huiling;  Wang, Shaopeng;  Chen, Tegu
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
The Aleutian Low-Beaufort Sea Anticyclone: A Climate Index Correlated With the Timing of Springtime Melt in the Pacific Arctic Cryosphere 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (13) : 7464-7473
作者:  Cox, C. J.;  Stone, R. S.;  Douglas, D. C.;  Stanitski, D. M.;  Gallagher, M. R.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
A Spring Barrier for Regional Predictions of Summer Arctic Sea Ice 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (11) : 5937-5947
作者:  Bonan, D. B.;  Bushuk, M.;  Winton, M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:0/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Seasonal Prediction of Northern European Winter Air Temperatures From SST Anomalies Based on Sensitivity Estimates 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (11) : 6109-6117
作者:  Koehl, Armin;  Vlasenko, Andrey
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
air temperatures  sensitivity analysis  sea surface temperature  statistical models