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火山喷发降低热带太平洋多年至十年预测技能 快报文章
气候变化快报,2023年第09期
作者:  迪里努尔 刘燕飞
Microsoft Word(16Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:342/0  |  提交时间:2023/05/05
Volcanic Forcing  Prediction Skill  Volcanic Aerosol  
Different prediction skill for the East Asian winter monsoon in the early and late winter season 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019
作者:  Tian, Baoqiang;  Fan, Ke
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Prediction skill  Early and late winter  East Asian winter monsoon  Subseasonal ENSO-EAWM relation  CFSv2  Year-to-year increment prediction  
GEOS-5 seasonal forecast system 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (12) : 7335-7361
作者:  Borovikov, Anna;  Cullather, Richard;  Kovach, Robin;  Marshak, Jelena;  Vernieres, Guillaume;  Vikhliaev, Yury;  Zhao, Bin;  Li, Zhao
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Global forecast  Seasonal prediction  NMME  GEOS-5  ENSO  Forecast skill  
Assessing the skill of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) in a decadal prediction experiment 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 5763-5775
作者:  Boer, George J.;  Sospedra-Alfonso, Reinel
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Decadal prediction  Pacific Decadal Oscillation  PDO  Modal skill  CanCM4 decadal hindcasts  
Extracting Robust Predictors From a Factor Field: An Empirically Optimal Screening Method 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (14) : 8355-8362
作者:  Fan, Lei
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
statstical prediction  cross validation  empirically optimal  artifical skill  predictor screening  correlation map  
Sub-seasonal prediction skill for the stratospheric meridional mass circulation variability in CFSv2 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 631-650
作者:  Yu, Yueyue;  Cai, Ming;  Shi, Chunhua;  Yan, Ruikai;  Rao, Jian
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Subseasonal prediction skill  Stratosphere  Meridional mass circulation  CFSv2  
Dynamical prediction of Indian monsoon: Past and present skill 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019, 39 (8) : 3574-3581
作者:  Kohn-Reich, Lisei;  Buerger, Gerd
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
correlation skill  dynamical seasonal prediction  Indian summer monsoon  
Differences in potential and actual skill in a decadal prediction experiment 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52 (11) : 6619-6631
作者:  Boer, G. J.;  Kharin, V. V.;  Merryfield, W. J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Decadal prediction  Predictability  Skill  Potential skill  
Effects of the Madden-Julian Oscillation on 2-m air temperature prediction over China during boreal winter in the S2S database 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52 (11) : 6671-6689
作者:  Zhou, Yang;  Yang, Ben;  Chen, Haishan;  Zhang, Yaocun;  Huang, Anning;  La, Mengke
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
2-m air temperature  Sub-seasonal to seasonal  Prediction skill  Madden-Julian Oscillation  
Relationships between potential, attainable, and actual skill in a decadal prediction experiment 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 4813-4831
作者:  Boer, G. J.;  Merryfield, W. J.;  Kharin, V. V.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Decadal prediction  Predictability  Skill  Potential skill