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Controls of Spring Persistence Barrier Strength in Different ENSO Regimes and Implications for 21st Century Changes 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (11)
作者:  Jin, Yishuai;  Lu, Zhengyao;  Liu, Zhengyu
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/25
ENSO growth rate  seasonal persistence barrier strength  Bjerknes stability index  thermodynamic damping  thermocline  
General seasonal phase-locking of variance and persistence: application to tropical pacific, north pacific and global ocean 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 2825-2842
作者:  Jin, Yishuai;  Liu, Zhengyu;  Rong, Xinyao
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Phase locking  Variance  Persistence  Growth rate  Noise forcing  
A Theory for the Seasonal Predictability Barrier: Threshold, Timing, and Intensity 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (2) : 423-443
作者:  Liu, Zhengyu;  Jin, Yishuai;  Rong, Xinyao
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Climate variability  
Potential predictability and forecast skill in ensemble climate forecast: a skill-persistence rule 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 51: 2725-2742
作者:  Jin, Yishuai;  Rong, Xinyao;  Liu, Zhengyu
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Predictability  Seasonal forecast  Perfect model  CGCM  AR1 model