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Investigating the cloud radiative effect of Arctic cirrus 期刊论文
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 2022
作者:  Andreas Marsing, Ralf Meerkötter, Romy Heller, Stefan Kaufmann, Tina Jurkat-Witschas, Martina Krämer, Christian Rolf, and Christiane Voigt
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2022/07/08
An operational statistical downscaling prediction model of the winter monthly temperature over China based on a multi-model ensemble 期刊论文
Atmospheric Research, 2020
作者:  Ying Liu, Ke Fan, Lijuan Chen, Hong-Li Ren, ... Changzheng Liu
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/09/22
The impact of modified rate of precipitation conversion parameter in the convective parameterization scheme of operational weather forecast model (GFS T1534) over Indian summer monsoon region 期刊论文
Atmospheric Research, 2020
作者:  Malay Ganai, Snehlata Tirkey, R.P.M. Krishna, Parthasarathi Mukhopadhyay
收藏  |  浏览/下载:0/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/18
Deciphering the extreme rainfall scenario over Indian landmass using satellite observations, reanalysis and model forecast: Case studies 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2020, 240
作者:  Saha, Upal;  Singh, Tarkeshwar;  Sharma, Priti;  Das Gupta, M.;  Prasad, V. S.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:17/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/18
Extreme rainfall  Monsoon  Instability  Global forecast system  Unified Model  
Path Properties of Atmospheric Transitions: Illustration with a Low-Order Sudden Stratospheric Warming Model 期刊论文
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 2020
作者:  Finkel, Justin;  Abbot, Dorian S.;  Weare, Jonathan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/09
Impact of the Hierarchical Ensemble Filter Covariance Localization Method on EnKF Radar Data Assimilation: Observing system simulation experiments 期刊论文
Atmospheric Research, 2020
作者:  Shibo Gao, Haiqiu Yu, Jinzhong Min, Limin Liu, Chuanyou Ren
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/06/01
Comparing the impact of environmental conditions and microphysics on the forecast uncertainty of deep convective clouds and hail 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS, 2020, 20 (4) : 2201-2219
作者:  Wellmann, Constanze;  Barrett, Andrew, I;  Johnson, Jill S.;  Kunz, Michael;  Vogel, Bernhard;  Carslaw, Ken S.;  Hoose, Corinna
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Complexity-based approach for El Nino magnitude forecasting before the spring predictability barrier 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2020, 117 (1) : 177-183
作者:  Meng, Jun;  Fan, Jingfang;  Ludescher, Josef;  Agarwal, Ankit;  Chen, Xiaosong;  Bunde, Armin;  Kurths, Juergen;  Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13
ENSO  system complexity  entropy  spring barrier  forecasting  
Mass balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet from 1992 to 2018 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 579 (7798) : 233-+
作者:  Scudellari, Megan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

The Greenland Ice Sheet has been a major contributor to global sea-level rise in recent decades(1,2), and it is expected to continue to be so(3). Although increases in glacier flow(4-6) and surface melting(7-9) have been driven by oceanic(10-12) and atmospheric(13,14) warming, the magnitude and trajectory of the ice sheet'  s mass imbalance remain uncertain. Here we compare and combine 26 individual satellite measurements of changes in the ice sheet'  s volume, flow and gravitational potential to produce a reconciled estimate of its mass balance. The ice sheet was close to a state of balance in the 1990s, but annual losses have risen since then, peaking at 345 +/- 66 billion tonnes per year in 2011. In all, Greenland lost 3,902 +/- 342 billion tonnes of ice between 1992 and 2018, causing the mean sea level to rise by 10.8 +/- 0.9 millimetres. Using three regional climate models, we show that the reduced surface mass balance has driven 1,964 +/- 565 billion tonnes (50.3 per cent) of the ice loss owing to increased meltwater runoff. The remaining 1,938 +/- 541 billion tonnes (49.7 per cent) of ice loss was due to increased glacier dynamical imbalance, which rose from 46 +/- 37 billion tonnes per year in the 1990s to 87 +/- 25 billion tonnes per year since then. The total rate of ice loss slowed to 222 +/- 30 billion tonnes per year between 2013 and 2017, on average, as atmospheric circulation favoured cooler conditions(15) and ocean temperatures fell at the terminus of Jakobshavn Isbr AE(16). Cumulative ice losses from Greenland as a whole have been close to the rates predicted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for their high-end climate warming scenario(17), which forecast an additional 70 to 130 millimetres of global sea-level rise by 2100 compared with their central estimate.


  
Lightning data assimilation with comprehensively nudging water contents at cloud-resolving scale using WRF model 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2019, 221: 72-87
作者:  Chen, Zhixiong;  Qie, Xiushu;  Liu, Dongxia;  Xiong, Yajun
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Squall line  Lightning data assimilation  Quantitative precipitation forecasts  Surface cold pool  WRF