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Water rights shape crop yield and revenue volatility tradeoffs for adaptation in snow dependent systems 期刊论文
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS, 2020, 11 (1)
作者:  Malek, Keyvan;  Reed, Patrick;  Adam, Jennifer;  Karimi, Tina;  Brady, Michael
收藏  |  浏览/下载:15/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/14
Rapid range shifts and megafaunal extinctions associated with late Pleistocene climate change 期刊论文
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS, 2020, 11 (1)
作者:  Seersholm, Frederik V.;  Werndly, Daniel J.;  Grealy, Alicia;  Johnson, Taryn;  Keenan Early, Erin M.;  Lundelius, Ernest L.;  Winsborough, Barbara;  Farr, Grayal Earle;  Toomey, Rickard;  Hansen, Anders J.;  Shapiro, Beth;  Waters, Michael R.;  McDonald, Gregory;  Linderholm, Anna;  Stafford, Thomas W., Jr.;  Bunce, Michael
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/06/09
Self-preservation strategy for approaching global warming targets in the post-Paris Agreement era 期刊论文
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS, 2020, 11 (1)
作者:  Wei, Yi-Ming;  Han, Rong;  Wang, Ce;  Yu, Biying;  Liang, Qiao-Mei;  Yuan, Xiao-Chen;  Chang, Junjie;  Zhao, Qingyu;  Liao, Hua;  Tang, Baojun;  Yan, Jinyue;  Cheng, Lijing;  Yang, Zili
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13
Oceanic forcing of penultimate deglacial and last interglacial sea-level rise 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 577 (7792) : 660-+
作者:  Rizal, Yan;  Westaway, Kira E.;  Zaim, Yahdi;  van den Bergh, Gerrit D.;  Bettis, E. Arthur, III;  Morwood, Michael J.;  Huffman, O. Frank;  Grun, Rainer;  Joannes-Boyau, Renaud;  Bailey, Richard M.;  Sidarto;  Westaway, Michael C.;  Kurniawan, Iwan;  Moore, Mark W.;  Storey, Michael;  Aziz, Fachroel;  Suminto;  Zhao, Jian-xin;  Aswan;  Sipola, Maija E.;  Larick, Roy;  Zonneveld, John-Paul;  Scott, Robert;  Putt, Shelby;  Ciochon, Russell L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:21/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13

Sea-level histories during the two most recent deglacial-interglacial intervals show substantial differences(1-3) despite both periods undergoing similar changes in global mean temperature(4,5) and forcing from greenhouse gases(6). Although the last interglaciation (LIG) experienced stronger boreal summer insolation forcing than the present interglaciation(7), understanding why LIG global mean sea level may have been six to nine metres higher than today has proven particularly challenging(2). Extensive areas of polar ice sheets were grounded below sea level during both glacial and interglacial periods, with grounding lines and fringing ice shelves extending onto continental shelves(8). This suggests that oceanic forcing by subsurface warming may also have contributed to ice-sheet loss(9-12) analogous to ongoing changes in the Antarctic(13,14) and Greenland(15) ice sheets. Such forcing would have been especially effective during glacial periods, when the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) experienced large variations on millennial timescales(16), with a reduction of the AMOC causing subsurface warming throughout much of the Atlantic basin(9,12,17). Here we show that greater subsurface warming induced by the longer period of reduced AMOC during the penultimate deglaciation can explain the more-rapid sea-level rise compared with the last deglaciation. This greater forcing also contributed to excess loss from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets during the LIG, causing global mean sea level to rise at least four metres above modern levels. When accounting for the combined influences of penultimate and LIG deglaciation on glacial isostatic adjustment, this excess loss of polar ice during the LIG can explain much of the relative sea level recorded by fossil coral reefs and speleothems at intermediate- and far-field sites.


  
Early climate models successfully predicted global warming 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 578 (7793) : 45-46
作者:  Bertolucci, Sergio;  Mulargia, Francesco;  Giardini, Domenico
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

An evaluation of past climate-model forecasts.


Climate models published between 1970 and 2007 provided accurate forecasts of subsequently observed global surface warming. This finding shows the value of using global observations to vet climate models as the planet warms.


  
Comment on "The global tree restoration potential" 期刊论文
SCIENCE, 2019, 366 (6463)
作者:  Veldman, Joseph W.;  Aleman, Julie C.;  Alvarado, Swanni T.;  Anderson, T. Michael;  Archibald, Sally;  Bond, William J.;  Boutton, Thomas W.;  Buchmann, Nina;  Buisson, Elise;  Canadell, Josep G.;  Dechoum, Michele de Sa;  Diaz-Toribio, Milton H.;  Durigan, Giselda;  Ewel, John J.;  Fernandes, G. Wilson;  Fidelis, Alessandra;  Fleischman, Forrest;  Good, Stephen P.;  Griffith, Daniel M.;  Hermann, Julia-Maria;  Hoffmann, William A.;  Le Stradic, Soizig;  Lehmann, Caroline E. R.;  Mahy, Gregory;  Nerlekar, Ashish N.;  Nippert, Jesse B.;  Noss, Reed F.;  Osborne, Colin P.;  Overbeck, Gerhard E.;  Parr, Catherine L.;  Pausas, Juli G.;  Pennington, R. Toby;  Perring, Michael P.;  Putz, Francis E.;  Ratnam, Jayashree;  Sankaran, Mahesh;  Schmidt, Isabel B.;  Schmitt, Christine B.;  Silveira, Fernando A. O.;  Staver, A. Carla;  Stevens, Nicola;  Still, Christopher J.;  Stromberg, Caroline A. E.;  Temperton, Vicky M.;  Varner, J. Morgan;  Zaloumis, Nicholas P.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:17/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
A global risk assessment of primates under climate and land use/cover scenarios 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (9) : 3163-3178
作者:  Carvalho, Joana S.;  Graham, Bruce;  Rebelo, Hugo;  Bocksberger, Gaelle;  Meyer, Christoph F. J.;  Wich, Serge;  Kuehl, Hjalmar S.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:16/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
climate change  exposure  extinction risk  hazard  land use  cover change  primate conservation  primate hotspots  species ranges  
Adapt or die-Response of large herbivores to environmental changes in Europe during the Holocene 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (9) : 2915-2930
作者:  Hofman-Kaminska, Emilia;  Bocherens, Herve;  Drucker, Dorothee G.;  Fyfe, Ralph M.;  Guminski, Witold;  Makowiecki, Daniel;  Pacher, Martina;  Piliciauskiene, Giedre;  Samojlik, Tomasz;  Woodbridge, Jessie;  Kowalczyk, Rafal
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Alces alces  aurochs  Bison bonasus  Bos primigenius  European bison  foraging ecology  moose  stable isotopes  
Antarctica: The final frontier for marine biological invasions 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (7) : 2221-2241
作者:  McCarthy, Arlie H.;  Peck, Lloyd S.;  Hughes, Kevin A.;  Aldridge, David C.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:14/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
alien species  biofouling  climate change  introduced species  invasion pathways  marine ecosystems  shipping  Southern Ocean  
Large-scale distribution of tuna species in a warming ocean 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (6) : 2043-2060
作者:  Erauskin-Extramiana, Maite;  Arrizabalaga, Haritz;  Hobday, Alistair J.;  Cabre, Anna;  Ibaibarriaga, Leire;  Arregui, Igor;  Murua, Hilario;  Chust, Guillem
收藏  |  浏览/下载:14/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
climate change  exclusive economic zone  future projections  poleward shift  species distribution model  tuna