Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1111/gcb.14630 |
Large-scale distribution of tuna species in a warming ocean | |
Erauskin-Extramiana, Maite1; Arrizabalaga, Haritz2; Hobday, Alistair J.3; Cabre, Anna4; Ibaibarriaga, Leire1; Arregui, Igor2; Murua, Hilario2; Chust, Guillem1 | |
2019-06-01 | |
发表期刊 | GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY |
ISSN | 1354-1013 |
EISSN | 1365-2486 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 25期号:6页码:2043-2060 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Spain; Australia |
英文摘要 | Tuna are globally distributed species of major commercial importance and some tuna species are a major source of protein in many countries. Tuna are characterized by dynamic distribution patterns that respond to climate variability and long-term change. Here, we investigated the effect of environmental conditions on the worldwide distribution and relative abundance of six tuna species between 1958 and 2004 and estimated the expected end-of-the-century changes based on a high-greenhouse gas concentration scenario (RCP8.5). We created species distribution models using a long-term Japanese longline fishery dataset and two-step generalized additive models. Over the historical period, suitable habitats shifted poleward for 20 out of 22 tuna stocks, based on their gravity centre (GC) and/or one of their distribution limits. On average, tuna habitat distribution limits have shifted poleward 6.5 km per decade in the northern hemisphere and 5.5 km per decade in the southern hemisphere. Larger tuna distribution shifts and changes in abundance are expected in the future, especially by the end-of-the-century (2080-2099). Temperate tunas (albacore, Atlantic bluefin, and southern bluefin) and the tropical bigeye tuna are expected to decline in the tropics and shift poleward. In contrast, skipjack and yellowfin tunas are projected to become more abundant in tropical areas as well as in most coastal countries' exclusive economic zones (EEZ). These results provide global information on the potential effects of climate change in tuna populations and can assist countries seeking to minimize these effects via adaptive management. |
英文关键词 | climate change exclusive economic zone future projections poleward shift species distribution model tuna |
领域 | 气候变化 ; 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000467441900015 |
WOS关键词 | CLIMATE-CHANGE ; FOOD SECURITY ; DISTRIBUTION MODELS ; PACIFIC-OCEAN ; TOP PREDATORS ; BLUEFIN TUNA ; GLOBAL OCEAN ; NORTH-SEA ; FISHERIES ; IMPACTS |
WOS类目 | Biodiversity Conservation ; Ecology ; Environmental Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/183820 |
专题 | 气候变化 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.AZTI, Marine Res Div, Sukarrieta, Basque Country, Spain; 2.AZTI, Marine Res Div, Pasaia, Basque Country, Spain; 3.CSIRO, Oceans & Atmosphere, Hobart, Tas, Australia; 4.Inst Marine Sci, Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Erauskin-Extramiana, Maite,Arrizabalaga, Haritz,Hobday, Alistair J.,et al. Large-scale distribution of tuna species in a warming ocean[J]. GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY,2019,25(6):2043-2060. |
APA | Erauskin-Extramiana, Maite.,Arrizabalaga, Haritz.,Hobday, Alistair J..,Cabre, Anna.,Ibaibarriaga, Leire.,...&Chust, Guillem.(2019).Large-scale distribution of tuna species in a warming ocean.GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY,25(6),2043-2060. |
MLA | Erauskin-Extramiana, Maite,et al."Large-scale distribution of tuna species in a warming ocean".GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY 25.6(2019):2043-2060. |
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