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Emergent constraints on future projections of the western North Pacific Subtropical High 期刊论文
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS, 2020, 11 (1)
作者:  Chen, Xiaolong;  Zhou, Tianjun;  Wu, Peili;  Guo, Zhun;  Wang, Minghuai
收藏  |  浏览/下载：7/0  |  提交时间：2020/06/09
The potential to reduce uncertainty in regional runoff projections from climate models 期刊论文
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE, 2019, 9 (12) : 926-+
作者:  Lehner, Flavio;  Wood, Andrew W.;  Vano, Julie A.;  Lawrence, David M.;  Clark, Martyn P.;  Mankin, Justin S.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：4/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/16
Climate change disrupts local adaptation and favours upslope migration 期刊论文
ECOLOGY LETTERS, 2019
作者:  Anderson, Jill T.;  Wadgymar, Susana M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
Common garden  elevational gradient  integral projection model  local adaptation  population growth rate  reciprocal transplant  
Projecting marine species range shifts from only temperature can mask climate vulnerability 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019
作者:  McHenry, Jennifer;  Welch, Heather;  Lester, Sarah E.;  Saba, Vincent
收藏  |  浏览/下载：9/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
climate change  habitat suitability models  marine species  range shifts  species vulnerability  
Effects of climate and land-use change scenarios on fire probability during the 21st century in the Brazilian Amazon 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (9) : 2931-2946
作者:  Fonseca, Marisa Gesteira;  Alves, Lincoln Muniz;  Dutra Aguiar, Ana Paula;  Arai, Egidio;  Anderson, Liana Oighenstein;  Rosan, Thais Michele;  Shimabukuro, Yosio Edemir;  Oliveira e Cruz de Aragao, Luiz Eduardo
收藏  |  浏览/下载：12/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
fire modeling  forest degradation  hot pixels  maximum entropy  representative concentration pathway  tropical forest  
Modeling Future Projections of Temperature-Related Excess Morbidity due to Infectious Gastroenteritis under Climate Change Conditions in Japan 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH PERSPECTIVES, 2019, 127 (7)
作者:  Onozuka, Daisuke;  Gasparrini, Antonio;  Sera, Francesco;  Hashizume, Masahiro;  Honda, Yasushi
收藏  |  浏览/下载：10/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Predicting coral community recovery using multi-species population dynamics models 期刊论文
ECOLOGY LETTERS, 2019, 22 (4) : 605-615
作者:  Kayal, Mohsen;  Lenihan, Hunter S.;  Brooks, Andrew J.;  Holbrook, Sally J.;  Schmitt, Russell J.;  Kendall, Bruce E.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：7/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Community recovery  coral reefs  density dependence  ecosystem function  elasticity analysis  integral projection model  life-history traits  multi-species demographic model  reassembly  size structure  
Twenty-first-century climate change impacts on marine animal biomass and ecosystem structure across ocean basins 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (2) : 459-472
作者:  Bryndum-Buchholz, Andrea;  Tittensor, Derek P.;  Blanchard, Julia L.;  Cheung, William W. L.;  Coll, Marta;  Galbraith, Eric D.;  Jennings, Simon;  Maury, Olivier;  Lotze, Heike K.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：12/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
climate change  ensemble modeling  future projection  marine animal biomass  marine ecosystem models  model intercomparison  ocean basins  uncertainty  
Taking climate model evaluation to the next level 期刊论文
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE, 2019, 9 (2) : 102-110
作者:  Eyring, Veronika;  Cox, Peter M.;  Flato, Gregory M.;  Gleckler, Peter J.;  Abramowitz, Gab;  Caldwell, Peter;  Collins, William D.;  Gier, Bettina K.;  Hall, Alex D.;  Hoffman, Forrest M.;  Hurtt, George C.;  Jahn, Alexandra;  Jones, Chris D.;  Klein, Stephen A.;  Krasting, John P.;  Kwiatkowski, Lester;  Lorenz, Ruth;  Maloney, Eric;  Meehl, Gerald A.;  Pendergrass, Angeline G.;  Pincus, Robert;  Ruane, Alex C.;  Russell, Joellen L.;  Sanderson, Benjamin M.;  Santer, Benjamin D.;  Sherwood, Steven C.;  Simpson, Isla R.;  Stouffer, Ronald J.;  Williamson, Mark S.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：21/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Predicting coral community recovery using multi-species population dynamics models 期刊论文
ECOLOGY LETTERS, 2018, 21 (12) : 1790-1799
作者:  Kayal, Mohsen;  Lenihan, Hunter S.;  Brooks, Andrew J.;  Holbrook, Sally J.;  Schmitt, Russell J.;  Kendall, Bruce E.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：10/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Community recovery  coral reefs  density dependence  ecosystem function  elasticity analysis  integral projection model  life-history traits  multi-species demographic model  reassembly  size structure