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Predicting Sudden Stratospheric Warming 2018 and Its Climate Impacts With a Multimodel Ensemble 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 45 (24) : 13538-13546
作者:  Karpechko, Alexey Yu.;  Charlton-Perez, Andrew;  Balmaseda, Magdalena;  Tyrrell, Nicholas;  Vitart, Frederic
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
subseasonal-to-seasonal prediction  sudden stratospheric warming  stratosphere-troposphere coupling  extended range forecasts  
On the Harvest of Predictability From Land States in a Global Forecast Model 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2018, 123 (23) : 13111-13127
作者:  Dirmeyer, Paul A.;  Halder, Subhadeep;  Bombardi, Rodrigo
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
predictability  forecast skill  subseasonal  prediction  
A Hierarchical Statistical Framework for Emergent Constraints: Application to Snow-Albedo Feedback 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 45 (23) : 13050-13059
作者:  Bowman, Kevin W.;  Cressie, Noel;  Qu, Xin;  Hall, Alex
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Partial least regression approach to forecast the East Asian winter monsoon using Eurasian snow cover and sea surface temperature 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 51: 4573-4584
作者:  Yu, Lulu;  Wu, Zhiwei;  Zhang, Renhe;  Yang, Xin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Statistical model  East Asian winter monsoon  Seasonal prediction  
Predictability of summer extreme precipitation days over eastern China 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 51: 4543-4554
作者:  Li, Juan;  Wang, Bin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Extreme precipitation  Eastern China  Physics-based empirical model  Seasonal predictability  Seasonal prediction  East Asian summer monsoon  
Seasonal prediction of the typhoon genesis frequency over the Western North Pacific with a Poisson regression model 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 51: 4585-4600
作者:  Zhang, Xinchang;  Zhong, Shanshan;  Wu, Zhiwei;  Li, Yun
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Typhoon genesis frequency  Western North Pacific  Prediction  Poisson regression  
Processes Controlling Arctic and Antarctic Sea Ice Predictability in the Community Earth System Model 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2018, 31 (23) : 9771-9786
作者:  Ordonez, Ana C.;  Bitz, Cecilia M.;  Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, Edward
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Sea ice  Climate models  Coupled models  
Seasonal prediction of high-resolution temperature at 2-m height over Mongolia during boreal winter using both coupled general circulation model and artificial neural network 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2018, 38 (14) : 5418-5429
作者:  Bayasgalan, Gerelchuluun;  Ahn, Joong-Bae
收藏  |  浏览/下载:16/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
artificial neural network  coupled general circulation model  Mongolian temperature  seasonal prediction  
Coupled model fidelity in capturing atmospheric internal processes during organization and intensification of boreal summer intra-seasonal oscillation 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2018, 38 (14) : 5339-5353
作者:  Sarkar, Sahadat;  Mukhopadhyay, Parthasarathi;  Krishna, Ravuri Phani Murali;  Dutta, Somenath
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
atmospheric energetics  BSISO  CFSv2 T126  EKE budget  
Analysis of atmospheric moisture transport to the Upper Parana River basin 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2018, 38 (14) : 5153-5167
作者:  Moura, Leonardo Zandonadi;  Ribeiro Lima, Carlos Henrique
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
drought  flood  HYSPLIT  Lagrangian water balance  storm tracks  upper Parana River basin  water vapour tracer