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Projected Changes in Extreme Precipitation in a 60-km AGCM Large Ensemble and Their Dependence on Return Periods 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (13)
作者:  Mizuta, Ryo;  Endo, Hirokazu
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/06/16
extreme events  precipitation  climate change  large ensemble simulations  
Sensitivity of Historical Climate Simulations to Uncertain Aerosol Forcing 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (13)
作者:  Dittus, Andrea J.;  Hawkins, Ed;  Wilcox, Laura J.;  Sutton, Rowan T.;  Smith, Christopher J.;  Andrews, Martin B.;  Forster, Piers M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/25
historical aerosol forcing  climate model simulations  Forcing uncertainty  Transient Climate Response  Large ensemble  
Detected climatic change in global distribution of tropical cyclones 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2020, 117 (20) : 10706-10714
作者:  Murakami, Hiroyuki;  Delworth, Thomas L.;  Cooke, William F.;  Zhao, Ming;  Xiang, Baoqiang;  Hsu, Pang-Chi
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13
tropical cyclones  detection and attribution  large-ensemble simulations  climate change  spatial pattern  
Historical and Future Roles of Internal Atmospheric Variability in Modulating Summertime Greenland Ice Sheet Melt 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (6)
作者:  Sherman, Peter;  Tziperman, Eli;  Deser, Clara;  McElroy, Michael
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Greenland ice sheet  internal variability  large ensemble  climate change  
Fundamental bounds on the fidelity of sensory cortical coding 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020
作者:  Rempel, S.;  Gati, C.;  Nijland, M.;  Thangaratnarajah, C.;  Karyolaimos, A.;  de Gier, J. W.;  Guskov, A.;  Slotboom, D. J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:17/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

How the brain processes information accurately despite stochastic neural activity is a longstanding question(1). For instance, perception is fundamentally limited by the information that the brain can extract from the noisy dynamics of sensory neurons. Seminal experiments(2,3) suggest that correlated noise in sensory cortical neural ensembles is what limits their coding accuracy(4-6), although how correlated noise affects neural codes remains debated(7-11). Recent theoretical work proposes that how a neural ensemble'  s sensory tuning properties relate statistically to its correlated noise patterns is a greater determinant of coding accuracy than is absolute noise strength(12-14). However, without simultaneous recordings from thousands of cortical neurons with shared sensory inputs, it is unknown whether correlated noise limits coding fidelity. Here we present a 16-beam, two-photon microscope to monitor activity across the mouse primary visual cortex, along with analyses to quantify the information conveyed by large neural ensembles. We found that, in the visual cortex, correlated noise constrained signalling for ensembles with 800-1,300 neurons. Several noise components of the ensemble dynamics grew proportionally to the ensemble size and the encoded visual signals, revealing the predicted information-limiting correlations(12-14). Notably, visual signals were perpendicular to the largest noise mode, which therefore did not limit coding fidelity. The information-limiting noise modes were approximately ten times smaller and concordant with mouse visual acuity(15). Therefore, cortical design principles appear to enhance coding accuracy by restricting around 90% of noise fluctuations to modes that do not limit signalling fidelity, whereas much weaker correlated noise modes inherently bound sensory discrimination.


A microscopy system that enables simultaneous recording from hundreds of neurons in the mouse visual cortex reveals that the brain enhances its coding capacity by representing visual inputs in dimensions perpendicular to correlated noise.


  
Ensemble climate-impact modelling: extreme impacts from moderate meteorological conditions 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 15 (3)
作者:  van der Wiel, Karin;  Selten, Frank M.;  Bintanja, Richard;  Blackport, Russell;  Screen, James A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
extreme weather  extreme climate  impacts  society  risk  large ensemble  
The role of horizontal thermal advection in regulating wintertime mean and extreme temperatures over interior North America during the past and future 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 6125-6144
作者:  Wang, Fuyao;  Vavrus, Stephen J.;  Francis, Jennifer A.;  Martin, Jonathan E.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Thermal advection  Extreme temperatures  Future projection  CESM large ensemble  North America  Arctic amplification  
Projected Changes in the Probability Distributions, Seasonality, and Spatiotemporal Scaling of Daily and Subdaily Extreme Precipitation Simulated by a 50-Member Ensemble Over Northeastern North America 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2019
作者:  Innocenti, S.;  Mailhot, A.;  Leduc, M.;  Cannon, A. J.;  Frigon, A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
extreme precipitation  large ensemble  climate change  spatiotemporal scaling  annual and diurnal cycles  
Projected future changes in Marine Cold-Air Outbreaks associated with Polar Lows in the Northern North-Atlantic Ocean 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 2573-2585
作者:  Landgren, Oskar A.;  Seierstad, Ivar A.;  Iversen, Trond
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Cold-Air Outbreak  GIN Seas  Barents Sea  Future climate variability  Large ensemble  
Assessing natural variability in RCM signals: comparison of a multi model EURO-CORDEX ensemble with a 50-member single model large ensemble 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 1963-1979
作者:  von Trentini, Fabian;  Leduc, Martin;  Ludwig, Ralf
收藏  |  浏览/下载:24/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Regional climate models  Natural variability  EURO-CORDEX  Uncertainty  Large ensemble  Climate change signals