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Origin of interannual variability in global mean sea level 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2020, 117 (25) : 13983-13990
作者:  Hamlington, Benjamin D.;  Piecuch, Christopher G.;  Reager, John T.;  Chandanpurkar, Hrishi;  Frederikse, Thomas;  Nerem, R. Steven;  Fasullo, John T.;  Cheon, Se-Hyeon
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/06/16
sea level  climate variability  global mean sea level  satellite altimetry  
2100年全球海平面上升可能超过1米 快报文章
气候变化快报,2020年第10期
作者:  董利苹
Microsoft Word(14Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:347/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/19
Expert Survey, Global Mean Sea-level, Uncertainties, RCPs  
Oceanic forcing of penultimate deglacial and last interglacial sea-level rise 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 577 (7792) : 660-+
作者:  Rizal, Yan;  Westaway, Kira E.;  Zaim, Yahdi;  van den Bergh, Gerrit D.;  Bettis, E. Arthur, III;  Morwood, Michael J.;  Huffman, O. Frank;  Grun, Rainer;  Joannes-Boyau, Renaud;  Bailey, Richard M.;  Sidarto;  Westaway, Michael C.;  Kurniawan, Iwan;  Moore, Mark W.;  Storey, Michael;  Aziz, Fachroel;  Suminto;  Zhao, Jian-xin;  Aswan;  Sipola, Maija E.;  Larick, Roy;  Zonneveld, John-Paul;  Scott, Robert;  Putt, Shelby;  Ciochon, Russell L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:22/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13

Sea-level histories during the two most recent deglacial-interglacial intervals show substantial differences(1-3) despite both periods undergoing similar changes in global mean temperature(4,5) and forcing from greenhouse gases(6). Although the last interglaciation (LIG) experienced stronger boreal summer insolation forcing than the present interglaciation(7), understanding why LIG global mean sea level may have been six to nine metres higher than today has proven particularly challenging(2). Extensive areas of polar ice sheets were grounded below sea level during both glacial and interglacial periods, with grounding lines and fringing ice shelves extending onto continental shelves(8). This suggests that oceanic forcing by subsurface warming may also have contributed to ice-sheet loss(9-12) analogous to ongoing changes in the Antarctic(13,14) and Greenland(15) ice sheets. Such forcing would have been especially effective during glacial periods, when the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) experienced large variations on millennial timescales(16), with a reduction of the AMOC causing subsurface warming throughout much of the Atlantic basin(9,12,17). Here we show that greater subsurface warming induced by the longer period of reduced AMOC during the penultimate deglaciation can explain the more-rapid sea-level rise compared with the last deglaciation. This greater forcing also contributed to excess loss from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets during the LIG, causing global mean sea level to rise at least four metres above modern levels. When accounting for the combined influences of penultimate and LIG deglaciation on glacial isostatic adjustment, this excess loss of polar ice during the LIG can explain much of the relative sea level recorded by fossil coral reefs and speleothems at intermediate- and far-field sites.


  
Mass balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet from 1992 to 2018 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 579 (7798) : 233-+
作者:  Scudellari, Megan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

The Greenland Ice Sheet has been a major contributor to global sea-level rise in recent decades(1,2), and it is expected to continue to be so(3). Although increases in glacier flow(4-6) and surface melting(7-9) have been driven by oceanic(10-12) and atmospheric(13,14) warming, the magnitude and trajectory of the ice sheet'  s mass imbalance remain uncertain. Here we compare and combine 26 individual satellite measurements of changes in the ice sheet'  s volume, flow and gravitational potential to produce a reconciled estimate of its mass balance. The ice sheet was close to a state of balance in the 1990s, but annual losses have risen since then, peaking at 345 +/- 66 billion tonnes per year in 2011. In all, Greenland lost 3,902 +/- 342 billion tonnes of ice between 1992 and 2018, causing the mean sea level to rise by 10.8 +/- 0.9 millimetres. Using three regional climate models, we show that the reduced surface mass balance has driven 1,964 +/- 565 billion tonnes (50.3 per cent) of the ice loss owing to increased meltwater runoff. The remaining 1,938 +/- 541 billion tonnes (49.7 per cent) of ice loss was due to increased glacier dynamical imbalance, which rose from 46 +/- 37 billion tonnes per year in the 1990s to 87 +/- 25 billion tonnes per year since then. The total rate of ice loss slowed to 222 +/- 30 billion tonnes per year between 2013 and 2017, on average, as atmospheric circulation favoured cooler conditions(15) and ocean temperatures fell at the terminus of Jakobshavn Isbr AE(16). Cumulative ice losses from Greenland as a whole have been close to the rates predicted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for their high-end climate warming scenario(17), which forecast an additional 70 to 130 millimetres of global sea-level rise by 2100 compared with their central estimate.


  
Improved Earth Oblateness Rate Reveals Increased Ice Sheet Losses and Mass-Driven Sea Level Rise 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (12) : 6910-6917
作者:  Loomis, B. D.;  Rachlin, K. E.;  Luthcke, S. B.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:0/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Earth oblateness  satellite laser ranging  time variable gravity  GRACE  Antarctic Ice Sheet  global mean sea level  
Global mean sea-level rise in a world agreed upon in Paris 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2017, 12 (12)
作者:  Bittermann, Klaus;  Rahmstorf, Stefan;  Kopp, Robert E.;  Kemp, Andrew C.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
global mean sea level  Paris accord  semi-empirical sea-level model  global mean sea-level projections  
Impact of accelerated future global mean sea level rise on hypoxia in the Baltic Sea 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2017, 49
作者:  Meier, H. E. M.;  Hoglund, A.;  Eilola, K.;  Almroth-Rosell, E.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Coastal seas  Baltic Sea  Numerical modeling  Climate change  Global mean sea level rise  Marine biogeochemical cycles  Hypoxia  
Reassessment of 20th century global mean sea level rise 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2017, 114 (23) : 5946-5951
作者:  Dangendorf, Sonke;  Marcos, Marta;  Woppelmannc, Guy;  Conrad, Clinton P.;  Frederikse, Thomas;  Riva, Riccardo
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
global mean sea level  tide gauges  vertical land motion  fingerprints  climate change