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A Large Ensemble Approach to Quantifying Internal Model Variability Within the WRF Numerical Model 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2020, 125 (7)
作者:  Bassett, R.;  Young, P. J.;  Blair, G. S.;  Samreen, F.;  Simm, W.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：5/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/02
ensemble  initial conditions  internal model variability (IMV)  regional climate model (RCM)  uncertainty  Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF)  
A dynamical statistical framework for seasonal streamflow forecasting in an agricultural watershed 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (12) : 7429-7445
作者:  Slater, Louise J.;  Villarini, Gabriele;  Bradley, A. Allen;  Vecchi, Gabriel A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：10/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
Seasonal forecasting  Probabilistic forecast  Streamflow forecasts  North-American Multi Model ensemble (NMME)  
Evaluation of the skill of North-American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) Global Climate Models in predicting average and extreme precipitation and temperature over the continental USA 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (12) : 7381-7396
作者:  Slater, Louise J.;  Villarini, Gabriele;  Bradley, Allen A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：9/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
Seasonal forecasting  NMME  Flood  Drought  Multi-model ensemble  Model biases  
Assessing probabilistic predictions of ENSO phase and intensity from the North American Multimodel Ensemble 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (12) : 7497-7518
作者:  Tippett, Michael K.;  39;Heureux, Michelle
收藏  |  浏览/下载：9/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
ENSO  Probabilistic verification  Ensemble forecasting  
Seasonal Hydropower Planning for Data-Scarce Regions Using Multimodel Ensemble Forecasts, Remote Sensing Data, and Stochastic Programming 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2019
作者:  Koppa, Akash;  Gebremichael, Mekonnen;  Zambon, Renato C.;  Yeh, William W-G;  Hopson, Thomas M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：5/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/16
hydropower planning  ensemble forecasting  remote sensing  data-scarce regions  taxonomy  taxonomy numbers  
Ensemble flood forecasting based on a coupled atmospheric-hydrological modeling system with data assimilation 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2019, 224: 127-137
作者:  Tian, Jiyang;  Liu, Jia;  Yan, Denghua;  Ding, Liuqian;  Li, Chuanzhe
收藏  |  浏览/下载：10/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Numerical weather prediction  Data assimilation  Rainfall-runoff model  Atmospheric-hydrological modeling system  Ensemble flood forecasting  
Bias adjustment and ensemble recalibration methods for seasonal forecasting: a comprehensive intercomparison using the C3S dataset 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 1287-1305
作者:  Manzanas, R.;  Gutierrez, J. M.;  Bhend, J.;  Hemri, S.;  Doblas-Reyes, F. J.;  Torralba, V.;  Penabad, E.;  Brookshaw, A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：7/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Seasonal forecasting  C3S  Bias adjustment  Ensemble recalibration  Forecast quality  Reliability  Ensemble size  Hindcast length  
Statistical Postprocessing of Water Level Forecasts Using Bayesian Model Averaging With Doubly Truncated Normal Components 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2019, 55 (5) : 3997-4013
作者:  Baran, Sandor;  Hemri, Stephan;  El Ayari, Mehrez
收藏  |  浏览/下载：5/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/26
Bayesian model averaging  Box-Cox transformation  ensemble model output statistics  ensemble postprocessing  probabilistic forecasting  truncated normal distribution  
Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) Predictions of Days 1-15 US Tornado and Hail Frequencies 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (5) : 2922-2930
作者:  Gensini, Vittorio A.;  Tippett, Michael K.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：13/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/26
tornado  hail  forecasting  ensemble  GFS  meteorology  
Meteorological Conditions During an Ozone Episode in Dallas-Fort Worth, Texas, and Impact of Their Modeling Uncertainties on Air Quality Prediction 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2019, 124 (4) : 1941-1961
作者:  Hu, Xiao-Ming;  Xue, Ming;  Kong, Fanyou;  Zhang, Hongliang
收藏  |  浏览/下载：4/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
inherent meteorology uncertainty  ensemble air quality forecasting  stationary front  ozone  Dallas-Fort Worth