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火山喷发降低热带太平洋多年至十年预测技能 快报文章
气候变化快报,2023年第09期
作者:  迪里努尔 刘燕飞
Microsoft Word(16Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:344/0  |  提交时间:2023/05/05
Volcanic Forcing  Prediction Skill  Volcanic Aerosol  
Multi-model ensemble predictions of precipitation and temperature using machine learning algorithms 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2020, 236
作者:  Ahmed, Kamal;  Sachindra, D. A.;  Shahid, Shamsuddin;  Iqbal, Zafar;  Nawaz, Nadeem;  Khan, Najeebullah
收藏  |  浏览/下载:16/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
General circulation models  Multi-model ensemble  Taylor skill score  Machine learning algorithms  Temperature and precipitation  Pakistan  
Different prediction skill for the East Asian winter monsoon in the early and late winter season 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019
作者:  Tian, Baoqiang;  Fan, Ke
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Prediction skill  Early and late winter  East Asian winter monsoon  Subseasonal ENSO-EAWM relation  CFSv2  Year-to-year increment prediction  
Evaluation of NMME temperature and precipitation bias and forecast skill for South Asia 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (12) : 7363-7380
作者:  Cash, Benjamin A.;  Manganello, Julia V.;  Kinter, James L., III
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Monsoon  ENSO  Forecast skill  
GEOS-5 seasonal forecast system 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (12) : 7335-7361
作者:  Borovikov, Anna;  Cullather, Richard;  Kovach, Robin;  Marshak, Jelena;  Vernieres, Guillaume;  Vikhliaev, Yury;  Zhao, Bin;  Li, Zhao
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Global forecast  Seasonal prediction  NMME  GEOS-5  ENSO  Forecast skill  
Use of El Nino-Southern Oscillation related seasonal precipitation predictability in developing regions for potential societal benefit 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019, 39 (14) : 5327-5337
作者:  Landman, Willem A.;  Barnston, Anthony G.;  Vogel, Coleen;  Savy, Janique
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
collaboration  emerging economies  ENSO  human development  seasonal climate modelling  skill  
Deterministic Skill of Subseasonal Precipitation Forecasts for the East Africa-West Asia Sector from September to May 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2019, 124 (22) : 11887-11896
作者:  Vigaud, N.;  Tippett, M. K.;  Robertson, A. W.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
S2S rainfall forecasts show statistically significant skill in the East Africa-West Asia sector out to Week 4  Forecast skill of dynamical models exceeds that of statistical models based on ENSO and the MJO  Tropical-temperate interactions may represent a new source of S2S predictability  
Assessing the skill of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) in a decadal prediction experiment 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 5763-5775
作者:  Boer, George J.;  Sospedra-Alfonso, Reinel
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Decadal prediction  Pacific Decadal Oscillation  PDO  Modal skill  CanCM4 decadal hindcasts  
Asian water tower evinced in total column water vapor: a comparison among multiple satellite and reanalysis data sets 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019
作者:  Zhao, Yin;  Zhou, Tianjun
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Asian water tower  Total column water vapor  Tibetan Plateau  Data evaluation  Skill weighting  
Skilful seasonal prediction of winter wind speeds in China 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 3937-3955
作者:  Lockwood, Julia F.;  Thornton, Hazel E.;  Dunstone, Nick;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Bett, Philip E.;  Li, Chaofan;  Ren, Hong-Li
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Seasonal forecasting  Forecast verification/skill  Wind  Asia