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2100年格陵兰冰盖融化可能导致海平面上升约18cm 快报文章
资源环境快报,2020年第24期
作者:  董利苹
Microsoft Word(14Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:471/0  |  提交时间:2020/12/31
Greenland Ice Sheet  Sea Level Rise  CMIP6  Regional Climate Models  
Evaluation of the EURO-CORDEX Regional Climate Models Over the Iberian Peninsula: Observational Uncertainty Analysis 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2020, 125 (12)
作者:  Herrera, S.;  Soares, P. M. M.;  Cardoso, R. M.;  Gutierrez, J. M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/18
observational uncertainty  regional climate models  ensemble  extremes  Iberia01  CORDEX  
A tale of two futures: contrasting scenarios of future precipitation for West Africa from an ensemble of regional climate models 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 15 (6)
作者:  Dosio, Alessandro;  Turner, Andrew G.;  Tamoffo, Alain T.;  Sylla, Mouhamadou Bamba;  Lennard, Christopher;  Jones, Richard G.;  Terray, Laurent;  Nikulin, Grigory;  Hewitson, Bruce
收藏  |  浏览/下载:16/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
West Africa  Sahel  CORDEX  regional climate models  moisture budget equation  
Historical evaluations and simulations of precipitation over East Africa from Rossby centre regional climate model 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2020, 232
作者:  Ayugi, Brian;  Tan, Guirong;  Gnitou, Gnim Tchalim;  Ojara, Moses;  Ongoma, Victor
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
CORDEX  Greater Horn of Africa  Precipitation  Regional climate models  Rossby centre atmospheric models  
Projected spatial patterns in precipitation and air temperature for China's northwest region derived from high-resolution regional climate models 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019
作者:  Yin, Zhenliang;  Feng, Qi;  Yang, Linshan;  Deo, Ravinesh C.;  Adamowski, Jan F.;  Wen, Xiaohu;  Jia, Bing;  Si, Jianhua
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
climate change  CORDEX-EA  northwestern China  precipitation and temperature projection  regional climate models  
Mass balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet from 1992 to 2018 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 579 (7798) : 233-+
作者:  Scudellari, Megan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

The Greenland Ice Sheet has been a major contributor to global sea-level rise in recent decades(1,2), and it is expected to continue to be so(3). Although increases in glacier flow(4-6) and surface melting(7-9) have been driven by oceanic(10-12) and atmospheric(13,14) warming, the magnitude and trajectory of the ice sheet'  s mass imbalance remain uncertain. Here we compare and combine 26 individual satellite measurements of changes in the ice sheet'  s volume, flow and gravitational potential to produce a reconciled estimate of its mass balance. The ice sheet was close to a state of balance in the 1990s, but annual losses have risen since then, peaking at 345 +/- 66 billion tonnes per year in 2011. In all, Greenland lost 3,902 +/- 342 billion tonnes of ice between 1992 and 2018, causing the mean sea level to rise by 10.8 +/- 0.9 millimetres. Using three regional climate models, we show that the reduced surface mass balance has driven 1,964 +/- 565 billion tonnes (50.3 per cent) of the ice loss owing to increased meltwater runoff. The remaining 1,938 +/- 541 billion tonnes (49.7 per cent) of ice loss was due to increased glacier dynamical imbalance, which rose from 46 +/- 37 billion tonnes per year in the 1990s to 87 +/- 25 billion tonnes per year since then. The total rate of ice loss slowed to 222 +/- 30 billion tonnes per year between 2013 and 2017, on average, as atmospheric circulation favoured cooler conditions(15) and ocean temperatures fell at the terminus of Jakobshavn Isbr AE(16). Cumulative ice losses from Greenland as a whole have been close to the rates predicted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for their high-end climate warming scenario(17), which forecast an additional 70 to 130 millimetres of global sea-level rise by 2100 compared with their central estimate.


  
Changes in future rainfall extremes over Northeast Bangladesh: A Bayesian model averaging approach 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019
作者:  Abul Basher, Md;  Islam, A. K. M. Saiful;  Stiller-Reeve, Mathew A.;  Chu, Pao-Shin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Bayesian model averaging  climate change  multi-model ensemble mean  rainfall extremes  regional climate models  representative concentration pathways  
Evaluating a Regional Climate Model Simulation of Greenland Ice Sheet Snow and Firn Density for Improved Surface Mass Balance Estimates 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019
作者:  Alexander, P. M.;  Tedesco, M.;  Koenig, L.;  Fettweis, X.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Greenland ice sheet  snow and firn density  regional climate models  surface mass balance  
Advantage of NEX-GDDP over CMIP5 and CORDEX Data: Indian Summer Monsoon 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2019, 228: 152-160
作者:  Jain, Shipra;  Salunke, Popat;  Mishra, Saroj K.;  Sahany, Sandeep;  Choudhary, Naveen
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Regional climate modeling  Indian summer monsoon  Statistical downscaling  General circulation models  Multi-model mean  
Climate classifications from regional and global climate models: Performances for present climate estimates and expected changes in the future at high spatial resolution 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2019, 228: 107-121
作者:  Tapiador, Francisco J.;  Moreno, Raul;  Navarro, Andres;  Luis Sanchez, Jose;  Garcia-Ortega, Eduardo
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Climate classifications  Earth System Models  Global Climate Models  Regional Climate Models