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中国实现碳中和需要能源系统深刻变革 快报文章
气候变化快报,2022年第03期
作者:  刘莉娜
Microsoft Word(17Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:718/0  |  提交时间:2022/02/06
Energy Transition  Carbon Neutrality  Probabilistic Framework  
Verification of high resolution (12 km) Global Ensemble Prediction System 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2020, 236
作者:  Mamgain, Ashu;  Sarkar, Abhijit;  Rajagopal, E. N.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Ensemble Prediction System  Ensemble member  Probabilistic forecasts  Ensemble-spread  Brier score  Reliability diagram  
The Role of Climate Sensitivity in Upper-Tail Sea Level Rise Projections 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (6)
作者:  Vega-Westhoff, B.;  Sriver, R. L.;  Hartin, C.;  Wong, T. E.;  Keller, K.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
sea level rise  climate sensitivity  probabilistic projections  
Probabilistic Forecasting of El Nino Using Neural Network Models 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (6)
作者:  Petersik, Paul Johannes;  Dijkstra, Henk A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
El Nino  prediction  machine learning  neural networks  probabilistic forecasting  
Paracrine orchestration of intestinal tumorigenesis by a mesenchymal niche 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 580 (7804) : 524-+
作者:  Poore, Gregory D.;  Kopylova, Evguenia;  Zhu, Qiyun;  Carpenter, Carolina;  Fraraccio, Serena;  Wandro, Stephen;  Kosciolek, Tomasz;  Janssen, Stefan;  Metcalf, Jessica;  Song, Se Jin;  Kanbar, Jad;  Miller-Montgomery, Sandrine;  Heaton, Robert;  Mckay, Rana;  Patel, Sandip Pravin;  Swafford, Austin D.;  Knight, Rob
收藏  |  浏览/下载:40/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

The initiation of an intestinal tumour is a probabilistic process that depends on the competition between mutant and normal epithelial stem cells in crypts(1). Intestinal stem cells are closely associated with a diverse but poorly characterized network of mesenchymal cell types(2,3). However, whether the physiological mesenchymal microenvironment of mutant stem cells affects tumour initiation remains unknown. Here we provide in vivo evidence that the mesenchymal niche controls tumour initiation in trans. By characterizing the heterogeneity of the intestinal mesenchyme using single-cell RNA-sequencing analysis, we identified a population of rare pericryptal Ptgs2-expressing fibroblasts that constitutively process arachidonic acid into highly labile prostaglandin E-2 (PGE(2)). Specific ablation of Ptgs2 in fibroblasts was sufficient to prevent tumour initiation in two different models of sporadic, autochthonous tumorigenesis. Mechanistically, single-cell RNA-sequencing analyses of a mesenchymal niche model showed that fibroblast-derived PGE(2) drives the expansion omicron f a population of Sca-1(+) reserve-like stem cells. These express a strong regenerative/tumorigenic program, driven by the Hippo pathway effector Yap. In vivo, Yap is indispensable for Sca-1(+) cell expansion and early tumour initiation and displays a nuclear localization in both mouse and human adenomas. Using organoid experiments, we identified a molecular mechanism whereby PGE(2) promotes Yap dephosphorylation, nuclear translocation and transcriptional activity by signalling through the receptor Ptger4. Epithelial-specific ablation of Ptger4 misdirected the regenerative reprogramming of stem cells and prevented Sca-1(+) cell expansion and sporadic tumour initiation in mutant mice, thereby demonstrating the robust paracrine control of tumour-initiating stem cells by PGE(2)-Ptger4. Analyses of patient-derived organoids established that PGE(2)-PTGER4 also regulates stem-cell function in humans. Our study demonstrates that initiation of colorectal cancer is orchestrated by the mesenchymal niche and reveals a mechanism by which rare pericryptal Ptgs2-expressing fibroblasts exert paracrine control over tumour-initiating stem cells via the druggable PGE(2)-Ptger4-Yap signalling axis.


Single-cell RNA-sequencing analysis of intestinal mesenchyme identified a population of fibroblasts that produce prostaglandin E-2, which, when disrupted, prevented initiation of intestinal tumours.


  
Benefits of Explicit Treatment of Zero Flows in Probabilistic Hydrological Modeling of Ephemeral Catchments 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2019, 55 (12) : 11035-11060
作者:  McInerney, David;  Kavetski, Dmitri;  Thyer, Mark;  Lerat, Julien;  Kuczera, George
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/16
probabilistic streamflow prediction  ephemeral catchments  residual error model  zero flow  censoring approach  Box-Cox transformation  
A Consistent Approach for Probabilistic Residential Flood Loss Modeling in Europe 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2019, 55 (12) : 10616-10635
作者:  Luedtke, Stefan;  Schroeter, Kai;  Steinhausen, Max;  Weise, Laura;  Figueiredo, Rui;  Kreibich, Heidi
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/16
Probabilistic  flood loss model  Europe  flood risk  
A dynamical statistical framework for seasonal streamflow forecasting in an agricultural watershed 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (12) : 7429-7445
作者:  Slater, Louise J.;  Villarini, Gabriele;  Bradley, A. Allen;  Vecchi, Gabriel A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Seasonal forecasting  Probabilistic forecast  Streamflow forecasts  North-American Multi Model ensemble (NMME)  
Assessing probabilistic predictions of ENSO phase and intensity from the North American Multimodel Ensemble 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (12) : 7497-7518
作者:  Tippett, Michael K.;  39;Heureux, Michelle
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
ENSO  Probabilistic verification  Ensemble forecasting  
Probabilistic Assessment of Flood Hazard due to Levee Breaches Using Fragility Functions 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2019
作者:  D&;  39;Oria, M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:3/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/16
Flood hazard assessment  Probabilistic method  Levee breaches  Fragility functions  Piping  Case study