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Decadal predictability of temperature and precipitation means and extremes in a perfect-model experiment 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 3711-3729
作者:  Liu, Yiling;  Donat, Markus G.;  Rust, Henning W.;  Alexander, Lisa V.;  England, Matthew H.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：29/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Climate prediction  Predictability  Precipitation  Temperature  Climate extremes  Perfect model  CMIP5  
An intercomparison of a large ensemble of statistical downscaling methods over Europe: Results from the VALUE perfect predictor cross-validation experiment 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019, 39 (9) : 3750-3785
作者:  Gutierrez, J. M.;  Maraun, D.;  Widmann, M.;  Huth, R.;  Hertig, E.;  Benestad, R.;  Roessler, O.;  Wibig, J.;  Wilcke, R.;  Kotlarski, S.;  San Martin, D.;  Herrera, S.;  Bedia, J.;  Casanueva, A.;  Manzanas, R.;  Iturbide, M.;  Vrac, M.;  Dubrovsky, M.;  Ribalaygua, J.;  Portoles, J.;  Raty, O.;  Raisanen, J.;  Hingray, B.;  Raynaud, D.;  Casado, M. J.;  Ramos, P.;  Zerenner, T.;  Turco, M.;  Bosshard, T.;  Stepanek, P.;  Bartholy, J.;  Pongracz, R.;  Keller, D. E.;  Fischer, A. M.;  Cardoso, R. M.;  Soares, P. M. M.;  Czernecki, B.;  Page, C.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：21/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
bias adjustment  CORDEX  downscaling  model output statistics  perfect prognosis  reproducibility  validation  weather generators  
Validation of spatial variability in downscaling results from the VALUE perfect predictor experiment 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019, 39 (9) : 3819-3845
作者:  Widmann, Martin;  Bedia, Joaquin;  Gutierrez, Jose M.;  Bosshard, Thomas;  Hertig, Elke;  Maraun, Douglas;  Casado, Maria J.;  Ramos, Petra;  Cardoso, Rita M.;  Soares, Pedro M. M.;  Ribalaygua, Jamie;  Page, Christian;  Fischer, Andreas M.;  Herrera, Sixto;  Huth, Radan
收藏  |  浏览/下载：16/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
bias adjustment  downscaling  model output statistics  perfect prognosis  regional climate  spatial variability  validation  
Process-based evaluation of the VALUE perfect predictor experiment of statistical downscaling methods 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019, 39 (9) : 3868-3893
作者:  Soares, P. M. M.;  Maraun, D.;  Brands, S.;  Jury, M. W.;  Gutierrez, J. M.;  San-Martin, D.;  Hertig, E.;  Huth, R.;  Vozila, A. Belusic;  Cardoso, Rita M.;  Kotlarski, S.;  Drobinski, P.;  Obermann-Hellhund, A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：9/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
bias adjustment  climate change  downscaling  model output statistics  perfect prognosis  regime-oriented  
Evaluation and improvement of tail behaviour in the cumulative distribution function transform downscaling method 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019, 39 (4) : 2449-2460
作者:  Lanzante, John R.;  Nath, Mary Jo;  Whitlock, Carolyn E.;  Dixon, Keith W.;  Adams-Smith, Dennis
收藏  |  浏览/下载：17/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/26
bias correction  distributions  Perfect Model evaluation  statistical downscaling  tail values  
A Framework to Determine the Limits of Achievable Skill for Interannual to Decadal Climate Predictions 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2019, 124 (6) : 2882-2896
作者:  Liu, Yiling;  Donat, Markus G.;  Taschetto, Andrea S.;  Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J.;  Alexander, Lisa V.;  England, Matthew H.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：12/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/26
decadal prediction  predictability  CESM  CCSM4  perfect model  hindcasts  initialization  
Challenges in predicting and simulating summer rainfall in the eastern China 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 2217-2233
作者:  Liang, Ping;  Hu, Zeng-Zhen;  Liu, Yunyun;  Yuan, Xing;  Li, Xiaofan;  Jiang, Xingwen
收藏  |  浏览/下载：22/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Summer rainfall forecast  Eastern China  Perfect model skill  Internal variability and SST forcing  Model and reanalysis biases  
Potential predictability and forecast skill in ensemble climate forecast: a skill-persistence rule 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 51: 2725-2742
作者:  Jin, Yishuai;  Rong, Xinyao;  Liu, Zhengyu
收藏  |  浏览/下载：12/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Predictability  Seasonal forecast  Perfect model  CGCM  AR1 model