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Verification of high resolution (12 km) Global Ensemble Prediction System 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2020, 236
作者:  Mamgain, Ashu;  Sarkar, Abhijit;  Rajagopal, E. N.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：8/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/02
Ensemble Prediction System  Ensemble member  Probabilistic forecasts  Ensemble-spread  Brier score  Reliability diagram  
A study of ensemble-sensitivity-based initial condition perturbation methods for convection-permitting ensemble forecasts 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2020, 234
作者:  Zhang, Xinyan;  Min, Jinzhong;  Wu, Tianjie
收藏  |  浏览/下载：9/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/02
Ensemble-based sensitivity analysis  Initial condition perturbations  Convection-permitting ensemble forecasts  
Seasonal forecasts of North Atlantic tropical cyclone activity in the North American Multi-Model Ensemble 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (12) : 7169-7184
作者:  Manganello, Julia V.;  Cash, Benjamin A.;  Hodges, Kevin I.;  Kinter, James L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：10/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
Seasonal forecasts  North Atlantic  Tropical cyclone frequency  North American Multi-Model Ensemble  
A dynamical statistical framework for seasonal streamflow forecasting in an agricultural watershed 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (12) : 7429-7445
作者:  Slater, Louise J.;  Villarini, Gabriele;  Bradley, A. Allen;  Vecchi, Gabriel A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：10/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
Seasonal forecasting  Probabilistic forecast  Streamflow forecasts  North-American Multi Model ensemble (NMME)  
A comparison of the rainfall forecasting skills of the WRF ensemble forecasting system using SPCPT and other cumulus parameterization error representation schemes 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2019, 218: 160-175
作者:  Wu, Tianjie;  Min, Jinzhong;  Wu, Shu
收藏  |  浏览/下载：8/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Ensemble forecasts  Stochastic perturbed parameterization tendency  Cumulus parameterization  Precipitation  
How Global Warming Changes the Difficulty of Synoptic Weather Forecasting 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (5) : 2931-2939
作者:  Scher, S.;  Messori, G.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：4/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/26
ensemble forecasts  climate change  forecast uncertainty  synoptic meteorology  
Predictability of the European heat and cold waves 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 2481-2495
作者:  Lavaysse, Christophe;  Naumann, Gustavo;  Alfieri, Lorenzo;  Salamon, Peter;  Vogt, Juergen
收藏  |  浏览/下载：5/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Predictability  Heat waves  Cold waves  Ensemble forecasts  Validation  
Skill of ECMWF system-4 ensemble seasonal climate forecasts for East Africa 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2017, 37 (5)
作者:  Ogutu, Geoffrey E. O.;  Franssen, Wietse H. P.;  Supit, Iwan;  Omondi, P.;  Hutjes, Ronald W. A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：5/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
seasonal climate forecasts  East Africa  bias correction  probabilistic verification  ensemble prediction  
Optimizing multiple reliable forward contracts for reservoir allocation using multitime scale streamflow forecasts 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2017, 53 (3)
作者:  Lu, Mengqian;  Lall, Upmanu;  Robertson, Andrew W.;  Cook, Edward
收藏  |  浏览/下载：5/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
market-based reliable and insurable contracts  climate-informed water management  hierarchical multitime scales ensemble forecasts  prescribed reliability for supplies  dynamic flood control storage allocation  nonlinear global optimization  
Dynamical-statistical seasonal prediction for western North Pacific typhoons based on APCC multi-models 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2017, 48
作者:  Kim, Ok-Yeon;  Kim, Hye-Mi;  Lee, Myong-In;  Min, Young-Mi
收藏  |  浏览/下载：3/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Seasonal tropical cyclones  Western North Pacific  Multimodel ensemble  Deterministic and probabilistic forecasts