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Ensemble Streamflow Forecasting Using an Energy Balance Snowmelt Model Coupled to a Distributed Hydrologic Model with Assimilation of Snow and Streamflow Observations 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2019, 55 (12) : 10813-10838
作者:  Gichamo, Tseganeh Z.;  Tarboton, David G.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/16
ensemble streamflow forecast  Utah Energy Balance (UEB) snowmelt model  Research Distributed Hydrologic Model (RDHM)  data assimilation  ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF)  particle filter (PF)  
A dynamical statistical framework for seasonal streamflow forecasting in an agricultural watershed 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (12) : 7429-7445
作者:  Slater, Louise J.;  Villarini, Gabriele;  Bradley, A. Allen;  Vecchi, Gabriel A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Seasonal forecasting  Probabilistic forecast  Streamflow forecasts  North-American Multi Model ensemble (NMME)  
More reliable coastal SST forecasts from the North American multimodel ensemble 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (12) : 7153-7168
作者:  Hervieux, G.;  Alexander, M. A.;  Stock, C. A.;  Jacox, M. G.;  Pegion, K.;  Becker, E.;  Castruccio, F.;  Tommasi, D.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Seasonal prediction  SST anomaly  Coastal ecosystems  Climate models  Multimodel ensemble forecast  
The relationship among probabilistic, deterministic and potential skills in predicting the ENSO for the past 161 years 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (11) : 6947-6960
作者:  Liu, Ting;  Tang, Youmin;  Yang, Dejian;  Cheng, Yanjie;  Song, Xunshu;  Hou, Zhaolu;  Shen, Zheqi;  Gao, Yanqiu;  Wu, Yanling;  Li, Xiaojing;  Zhang, Banglin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
ENSO ensemble forecast  Predictability  Nonlinear monotonic relationship  
Calibration and combination of monthly near-surface temperature and precipitation predictions over Europe 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (12) : 7305-7320
作者:  Rodrigues, Luis R. L.;  Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J.;  Coelho, Caio A. S.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Climate prediction  Multimodel ensemble  Forecast quality assessment  Forecast assimilation  
Understanding the Signal-to-Noise Paradox with a Simple Markov Model 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (22) : 13308-13317
作者:  Zhang, Wei;  Kirtman, Ben
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Signal-to-noise paradox  Climate prediction  Markov model  CMIP5 models  Ensemble forecast  
How does ENSO diversity limit the skill of tropical Pacific precipitation forecasts in dynamical seasonal predictions? 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 5815-5831
作者:  Sohn, Soo-Jin;  Tam, Chi-Yung;  Kug, Jong-Seong
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
ENSO diversity  ENSO prediction  SST forecast  Tropical Pacific precipitation forecast  Dynamical seasonal prediction  Multimodal ensemble  
Improving Arctic sea ice seasonal outlook by ensemble prediction using an ice-ocean model 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2019, 227: 14-23
作者:  Yang, Qinghua;  Mu, Longjiang;  Wu, Xingren;  Liu, Jiping;  Zheng, Fei;  Zhang, Jinlun;  Li, Chuanjin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Seasonal sea ice prediction  Ensemble forecast  Sea ice thickness  Data assimilation  
An evaluation of East Asian summer monsoon forecast with the North American Multimodel Ensemble hindcast data 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019, 39 (12) : 4838-4852
作者:  Nie, Huiwen;  Guo, Yan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
East Asian summer monsoon  forecast error  North American Multimodel Ensemble  precipitation  predictability error  
Multi-model seasonal forecasts for the wind energy sector 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 2715-2729
作者:  Lee, Doo Young;  Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J.;  Torralba, Veronica;  Gonzalez-Reviriego, Nube
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Seasonal prediction systems  Statistical post-processing  Multi-model ensemble  10 m wind speed  Forecast verification