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DOI10.1029/2019WR025472
Ensemble Streamflow Forecasting Using an Energy Balance Snowmelt Model Coupled to a Distributed Hydrologic Model with Assimilation of Snow and Streamflow Observations
Gichamo, Tseganeh Z.; Tarboton, David G.
2019-12-17
发表期刊WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH
ISSN0043-1397
EISSN1944-7973
出版年2019
卷号55期号:12页码:10813-10838
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家USA
英文摘要

In many river basins across the world, snowmelt is an important source of streamflow. However, detailed snowmelt modeling is hampered by limited input data and uncertainty arising from inadequate model structure and parametrization. Data assimilation that updates model states based on observations, reduces uncertainty and improves streamflow forecasts. In this study, we evaluated the Utah Energy Balance (UEB) snowmelt model coupled to the Sacramento Soil Moisture Accounting (SAC-SMA) and rutpix7 stream routing models, integrated within the Research Distributed Hydrologic Model (RDHM) framework for streamflow forecasting. We implemented an ensemble Kalman filter for assimilation of snow water equivalent (SWE) observations in UEB and a particle filter for assimilation of streamflow to update the SAC-SMA and rutpix7 states. Using leave one out validation, it was shown that the modeled SWE at a location where observations were excluded from data assimilation was improved through assimilation of data from other stations, suggesting that assimilation of sparse observations of SWE has the potential to improve the distributed modeling of SWE over watershed grid cells. In addition, the spatially distributed snow data assimilation improved streamflow forecasts and the forecast volume error was reduced. On the other hand, the assimilation of streamflow observations did not provide additional forecast improvement over that achieved by the SWE assimilation for seasonal forecast volume likely due to there being little information content in streamflow at the forecast date prior to its rising during the melt period and this application of particle filter being better suited for shorter timescales.


英文关键词ensemble streamflow forecast Utah Energy Balance (UEB) snowmelt model Research Distributed Hydrologic Model (RDHM) data assimilation ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) particle filter (PF)
领域资源环境
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000502951900001
WOS关键词SURFACE-TEMPERATURE ; TURBULENT FLUXES ; KALMAN FILTER ; SOIL-MOISTURE ; INFORMATION ; PRECIPITATION ; FREQUENCY ; STATES
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Limnology ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Marine & Freshwater Biology ; Water Resources
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/223986
专题资源环境科学
作者单位Utah State Univ, Utah Water Res Lab, Logan, UT 84322 USA
推荐引用方式
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Gichamo, Tseganeh Z.,Tarboton, David G.. Ensemble Streamflow Forecasting Using an Energy Balance Snowmelt Model Coupled to a Distributed Hydrologic Model with Assimilation of Snow and Streamflow Observations[J]. WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH,2019,55(12):10813-10838.
APA Gichamo, Tseganeh Z.,&Tarboton, David G..(2019).Ensemble Streamflow Forecasting Using an Energy Balance Snowmelt Model Coupled to a Distributed Hydrologic Model with Assimilation of Snow and Streamflow Observations.WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH,55(12),10813-10838.
MLA Gichamo, Tseganeh Z.,et al."Ensemble Streamflow Forecasting Using an Energy Balance Snowmelt Model Coupled to a Distributed Hydrologic Model with Assimilation of Snow and Streamflow Observations".WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH 55.12(2019):10813-10838.
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