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ENSO-based predictability of a regional severe thunderstorm index 期刊论文
Geophysical Research Letters, 2021
作者:  Michael K. Tippett;  Chiara Lepore
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2021/10/07
Standard assessments of climate forecast skill can be misleading 期刊论文
Nature Communications, 2021
作者:  James S. Risbey;  Dougal T. Squire;  Amanda S. Black;  Timothy DelSole;  Chiara Lepore;  Richard J. Matear;  Didier P. Monselesan;  Thomas S. Moore;  Doug Richardson;  Andrew Schepen;  Michael K. Tippett;  Carly R. Tozer
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2021/07/27
Excessive Momentum and False Alarms in Late-Spring ENSO Forecasts 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (8)
作者:  Tippett, Michael K.;  39;Heureux, Michelle L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
ENSO  prediction  forecast busts  
Assessing probabilistic predictions of ENSO phase and intensity from the North American Multimodel Ensemble 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (12) : 7497-7518
作者:  Tippett, Michael K.;  39;Heureux, Michelle
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
ENSO  Probabilistic verification  Ensemble forecasting  
Impact of the QBO on Prediction and Predictability of the MJO Convection 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2019, 124 (22) : 11766-11782
作者:  Wang, Shuguang;  Tippett, Michael K.;  Sobel, Adam H.;  Martin, Zane K.;  Vitart, Frederic
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
MJO  QBO  S2S  BSISO  prediction  predictability  
Potential predictability of Arabian peninsula summer surface air temperature in the North American multimodel ensemble 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 4249-4266
作者:  Ehsan, Muhammad Azhar;  Kucharski, Fred;  Almazroui, Mansour;  Ismail, Muhammad;  Tippett, Michael K.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Arabian peninsula  Saudi Arabia  Hajj  Air temperature  JJA  NMME  Potential predictability  Atlantic Ocean  
Performance of a simple reanalysis proxy for US cloud-to-ground lightning 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019, 39 (10) : 3932-3946
作者:  Tippett, Michael K.;  Lepore, Chiara;  Koshak, William J.;  Chronis, Themis;  Vant-Hull, Brian
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
observational data analysis  physical phenomenon  rainfall  thunderstorms  lightning  atmospheric electricity  tools and methods  
Prediction and predictability of tropical intraseasonal convection: seasonal dependence and the Maritime Continent prediction barrier 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 6015-6031
作者:  Wang, Shuguang;  Sobel, Adam H.;  Tippett, Michael K.;  Vitart, Frederic
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Comment on "On the Relationship Between Probabilistic and Deterministic Skills in Dynamical Seasonal Climate Prediction" 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2019, 124 (7) : 3979-3981
作者:  Tippett, Michael K.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Confidence intervals in optimal fingerprinting 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 4111-4126
作者:  DelSole, Timothy;  Trenary, Laurie;  Yan, Xiaoqin;  Tippett, Michael K.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Optimal fingerprinting  Detection and attribution  Total least squares