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Seasonal Forecasts of the Exceptional Northern Hemisphere Winter of 2020 期刊论文
Geophysical Research Letters, 2020
作者:  Simon H. Lee;  Zachary D. Lawrence;  Amy H. Butler;  Alexey Y. Karpechko
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2020/10/20
The Role of the Stratosphere in Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction: 2. Predictability Arising From Stratosphere-Troposphere Coupling 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2020, 125 (2)
作者:  Domeisen, Daniela I. V.;  Butler, Amy H.;  Charlton-Perez, Andrew J.;  Ayarzaguena, Blanca;  Baldwin, Mark P.;  Dunn-Sigouin, Etienne;  Furtado, Jason C.;  Garfinkel, Chaim I.;  Hitchcock, Peter;  Karpechko, Alexey Yu.;  Kim, Hera;  Knight, Jeff;  Lang, Andrea L.;  Lim, Eun-Pa;  Marshall, Andrew;  Roff, Greg;  Schwartz, Chen;  Simpson, Isla R.;  Son, Seok-Woo;  Taguchi, Masakazu
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
The Role of the Stratosphere in Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction: 1. Predictability of the Stratosphere 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2020, 125 (2)
作者:  Domeisen, Daniela I. V.;  Butler, Amy H.;  Charlton-Perez, Andrew J.;  Ayarzaguena, Blanca;  Baldwin, Mark P.;  Dunn-Sigouin, Etienne;  Furtado, Jason C.;  Garfinkel, Chaim I.;  Hitchcock, Peter;  Karpechko, Alexey Yu.;  Kim, Hera;  Knight, Jeff;  Lang, Andrea L.;  Lim, Eun-Pa;  Marshall, Andrew;  Roff, Greg;  Schwartz, Chen;  Simpson, Isla R.;  Son, Seok-Woo;  Taguchi, Masakazu
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Statistical Learning Methods as a Basis for Skillful Seasonal Temperature Forecasts in Europe 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (17) : 5363-5379
作者:  Kamarainen, Matti;  Uotila, Petteri;  Karpechko, Alexey Yu.;  Hyvarinen, Otto;  Lehtonen, Ilari;  Raisanen, Jouni
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Europe  Principal components analysis  Forecast verification  skill  Seasonal forecasting  Statistical forecasting  Decadal variability  
Effects of the tropospheric large-scale circulation on European winter temperatures during the period of amplified Arctic warming 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019
作者:  Vihma, Timo;  Graversen, Rune;  Chen, Linling;  Handorf, Doerthe;  Skific, Natasa;  Francis, Jennifer A.;  Tyrrell, Nicholas;  Hall, Richard;  Hanna, Edward;  Uotila, Petteri;  Dethloff, Klaus;  Karpechko, Alexey Y.;  Bjornsson, Halldor;  Overland, James E.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Arctic  European weather  North Atlantic oscillation  Scandinavian pattern  subsidence heating  teleconnections  
Atmospheric Circulation Response to Anomalous Siberian Forcing in October 2016 and its Long-Range Predictability 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (5) : 2800-2810
作者:  Tyrrell, Nicholas L.;  Karpechko, Alexey Yu.;  Uotila, Petteri;  Vihma, Timo
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
autumn 2016  Siberian forcing  seasonal forecasting  polar vortex  stratosphere-troposphere  
Predicting Sudden Stratospheric Warming 2018 and Its Climate Impacts With a Multimodel Ensemble 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 45 (24) : 13538-13546
作者:  Karpechko, Alexey Yu.;  Charlton-Perez, Andrew;  Balmaseda, Magdalena;  Tyrrell, Nicholas;  Vitart, Frederic
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
subseasonal-to-seasonal prediction  sudden stratospheric warming  stratosphere-troposphere coupling  extended range forecasts  
Linking uncertainty in simulated Arctic ozone loss to uncertainties in modelled tropical stratospheric water vapour 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS, 2018, 18 (20) : 15047-15067
作者:  Tholix, Laura;  Karpechko, Alexey;  Backman, Leif;  Kivi, Rigel
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
The Influence of Eurasian Snow Extent on the Northern Extratropical Stratosphere in a QBO Resolving Model 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2018, 123 (1) : 315-328
作者:  Tyrrell, Nicholas L.;  Karpechko, Alexey Y.;  Raisanen, Petri
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Arctic Stratosphere Dynamical Response to Global Warming 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2017, 30 (17)
作者:  Karpechko, Alexey Yu;  Manzini, Elisa
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09