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火山喷发降低热带太平洋多年至十年预测技能 快报文章
气候变化快报，2023年第09期
作者:  迪里努尔 刘燕飞
Microsoft Word(16Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：344/0  |  提交时间：2023/05/05
Volcanic Forcing  Prediction Skill  Volcanic Aerosol  
Different prediction skill for the East Asian winter monsoon in the early and late winter season 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019
作者:  Tian, Baoqiang;  Fan, Ke
收藏  |  浏览/下载：12/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
Prediction skill  Early and late winter  East Asian winter monsoon  Subseasonal ENSO-EAWM relation  CFSv2  Year-to-year increment prediction  
Evaluation of NMME temperature and precipitation bias and forecast skill for South Asia 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (12) : 7363-7380
作者:  Cash, Benjamin A.;  Manganello, Julia V.;  Kinter, James L., III
收藏  |  浏览/下载：7/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
Monsoon  ENSO  Forecast skill  
GEOS-5 seasonal forecast system 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (12) : 7335-7361
作者:  Borovikov, Anna;  Cullather, Richard;  Kovach, Robin;  Marshak, Jelena;  Vernieres, Guillaume;  Vikhliaev, Yury;  Zhao, Bin;  Li, Zhao
收藏  |  浏览/下载：13/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
Global forecast  Seasonal prediction  NMME  GEOS-5  ENSO  Forecast skill  
Use of El Nino-Southern Oscillation related seasonal precipitation predictability in developing regions for potential societal benefit 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019, 39 (14) : 5327-5337
作者:  Landman, Willem A.;  Barnston, Anthony G.;  Vogel, Coleen;  Savy, Janique
收藏  |  浏览/下载：8/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
collaboration  emerging economies  ENSO  human development  seasonal climate modelling  skill  
Deterministic Skill of Subseasonal Precipitation Forecasts for the East Africa-West Asia Sector from September to May 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2019, 124 (22) : 11887-11896
作者:  Vigaud, N.;  Tippett, M. K.;  Robertson, A. W.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：11/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
S2S rainfall forecasts show statistically significant skill in the East Africa-West Asia sector out to Week 4  Forecast skill of dynamical models exceeds that of statistical models based on ENSO and the MJO  Tropical-temperate interactions may represent a new source of S2S predictability  
Assessing the skill of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) in a decadal prediction experiment 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 5763-5775
作者:  Boer, George J.;  Sospedra-Alfonso, Reinel
收藏  |  浏览/下载：8/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Decadal prediction  Pacific Decadal Oscillation  PDO  Modal skill  CanCM4 decadal hindcasts  
Asian water tower evinced in total column water vapor: a comparison among multiple satellite and reanalysis data sets 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019
作者:  Zhao, Yin;  Zhou, Tianjun
收藏  |  浏览/下载：4/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Asian water tower  Total column water vapor  Tibetan Plateau  Data evaluation  Skill weighting  
Skilful seasonal prediction of winter wind speeds in China 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 3937-3955
作者:  Lockwood, Julia F.;  Thornton, Hazel E.;  Dunstone, Nick;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Bett, Philip E.;  Li, Chaofan;  Ren, Hong-Li
收藏  |  浏览/下载：7/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Seasonal forecasting  Forecast verification/skill  Wind  Asia  
Statistical Learning Methods as a Basis for Skillful Seasonal Temperature Forecasts in Europe 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (17) : 5363-5379
作者:  Kamarainen, Matti;  Uotila, Petteri;  Karpechko, Alexey Yu.;  Hyvarinen, Otto;  Lehtonen, Ilari;  Raisanen, Jouni
收藏  |  浏览/下载：7/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Europe  Principal components analysis  Forecast verification  skill  Seasonal forecasting  Statistical forecasting  Decadal variability