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Assessing the skill of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) in a decadal prediction experiment 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 5763-5775
作者:  Boer, George J.;  Sospedra-Alfonso, Reinel
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Decadal prediction  Pacific Decadal Oscillation  PDO  Modal skill  CanCM4 decadal hindcasts  
Extracting Robust Predictors From a Factor Field: An Empirically Optimal Screening Method 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (14) : 8355-8362
作者:  Fan, Lei
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
statstical prediction  cross validation  empirically optimal  artifical skill  predictor screening  correlation map  
Sub-seasonal prediction skill for the stratospheric meridional mass circulation variability in CFSv2 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 631-650
作者:  Yu, Yueyue;  Cai, Ming;  Shi, Chunhua;  Yan, Ruikai;  Rao, Jian
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Subseasonal prediction skill  Stratosphere  Meridional mass circulation  CFSv2  
Dynamical prediction of Indian monsoon: Past and present skill 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019, 39 (8) : 3574-3581
作者:  Kohn-Reich, Lisei;  Buerger, Gerd
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
correlation skill  dynamical seasonal prediction  Indian summer monsoon  
Differences in potential and actual skill in a decadal prediction experiment 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52 (11) : 6619-6631
作者:  Boer, G. J.;  Kharin, V. V.;  Merryfield, W. J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Decadal prediction  Predictability  Skill  Potential skill  
Effects of the Madden-Julian Oscillation on 2-m air temperature prediction over China during boreal winter in the S2S database 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52 (11) : 6671-6689
作者:  Zhou, Yang;  Yang, Ben;  Chen, Haishan;  Zhang, Yaocun;  Huang, Anning;  La, Mengke
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
2-m air temperature  Sub-seasonal to seasonal  Prediction skill  Madden-Julian Oscillation  
Relationships between potential, attainable, and actual skill in a decadal prediction experiment 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 4813-4831
作者:  Boer, G. J.;  Merryfield, W. J.;  Kharin, V. V.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Decadal prediction  Predictability  Skill  Potential skill  
Dynamical prediction of Arctic sea ice modes of variability 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 3157-3173
作者:  Fuckar, Neven S.;  Guemas, Virginie;  Johnson, Nathaniel C.;  Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Arctic  Sea ice thickness  GCM reconstruction  K-means cluster analysis  Climate variability  Coupled climate prediction  Markov chain model  Prediction skill  RPSS  Reliability and ROC diagrams  
Precipitation Prediction Skill for the West Coast United States: From Short to Extended Range 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (1) : 161-182
作者:  Pan, Baoxiang;  Hsu, Kuolin;  AghaKouchak, Amir;  Sorooshian, Soroosh;  Higgins, Wayne
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
La Nina  Madden-Julian oscillation  Forecast verification  skill  Hindcasts  Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting (PQPF)  Short-range prediction  
On the Harvest of Predictability From Land States in a Global Forecast Model 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2018, 123 (23) : 13111-13127
作者:  Dirmeyer, Paul A.;  Halder, Subhadeep;  Bombardi, Rodrigo
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
predictability  forecast skill  subseasonal  prediction