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Robust Multiyear Climate Impacts of Volcanic Eruptions in Decadal Prediction Systems 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2020, 125 (9)
作者:  Hermanson, Leon;  Bilbao, Roberto;  Dunstone, Nick;  Menegoz, Martin;  Ortega, Pablo;  Pohlmann, Holger;  Robson, Jon, I;  Smith, Doug M.;  Strand, Gary;  Timmreck, Claudia;  Yeager, Steve;  Danabasoglu, Gokhan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
climate  volcano  coupled model  NAO  ENSO  
Projected near-term changes of temperature extremes in Europe and China under different aerosol emissions 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 15 (3)
作者:  Luo, Feifei;  Wilcox, Laura;  Dong, Buwen;  Su, Qin;  Chen, Wei;  Dunstone, Nick;  Li, Shuanglin;  Gao, Yongqi
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
temperature extremes  anthropogenic aerosols  projection  HadGEM3-GC2  
Skilful Real-Time Seasonal Forecasts of the Dry Northern European Summer 2018 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019
作者:  Dunstone, Nick;  Smith, Doug;  Hardiman, Steven;  Eade, Rosie;  Gordon, Margaret;  Hermanson, Leon;  Kay, Gillian;  Scaife, Adam
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
seasonal prediction  European  rainfall  summer  North Atlantic  
Attribution of Recent Trends in Temperature Extremes over China: Role of Changes in Anthropogenic Aerosol Emissions over Asia 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (21) : 7539-7560
作者:  Chen, Wei;  Dong, Buwen;  Wilcox, Laura;  Luo, Feifei;  Dunstone, Nick;  Highwood, Eleanor J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Extreme events  Anthropogenic effects  Surface temperature  Trends  Aerosol-cloud interaction  
Skilful seasonal prediction of winter wind speeds in China 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 3937-3955
作者:  Lockwood, Julia F.;  Thornton, Hazel E.;  Dunstone, Nick;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Bett, Philip E.;  Li, Chaofan;  Ren, Hong-Li
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Seasonal forecasting  Forecast verification/skill  Wind  Asia  
Predicting the seasonal evolution of southern African summer precipitation in the DePreSys3 prediction system 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52 (11) : 6491-6510
作者:  Monerie, Paul-Arthur;  Robson, Jon;  Dong, Buwen;  Dieppois, Bastien;  Pohl, Benjamin;  Dunstone, Nick
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Southern African precipitation  ENSO  Seasonal prediction  High resolution climate models  
Seasonal predictability of winter ENSO types in operational dynamical model predictions 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 3869-3890
作者:  Ren, Hong-Li;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Dunstone, Nick;  Tian, Ben;  Liu, Ying;  Ineson, Sarah;  Lee, June-Yi;  Smith, Doug;  Liu, Changzheng;  Thompson, Vikki;  Vellinga, Michael;  MacLachlan, Craig
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Two types of winter ENSO events  Predictability  Dynamical model  Evaluation  
Risk and dynamics of unprecedented hot months in South East China 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 2585-2596
作者:  Thompson, Vikki;  Dunstone, Nick J.;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Smith, Doug M.;  Hardiman, Steven C.;  Ren, Hong-Li;  Lu, Bo;  Belcher, Stephen E.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Unprecedented extremes  Climate risks  Silk Road Pattern  China  Hot summers  
Tropical rainfall predictions from multiple seasonal forecast systems 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019, 39 (2) : 974-988
作者:  Scaife, Adam A.;  Ferranti, Laura;  Alves, Oscar;  Athanasiadis, Panos;  Baehr, Johanna;  Deque, Michel;  Dippe, Tina;  Dunstone, Nick;  Fereday, David;  Gudgel, Richard G.;  Greatbatch, Richard J.;  Hermanson, Leon;  Imada, Yukiko;  Jain, Shipra;  Kumar, Arun;  MacLachlan, Craig;  Merryfield, William;  Mueller, Wolfgang A.;  Ren, Hong-Li;  Smith, Doug;  Takaya, Yuhei;  Vecchi, Gabriel;  Yang, Xiaosong
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
ensemble  ENSO  NAO  PNA  seasona prediction  tropical rainfall  
Intraseasonal Effects of El Nino-Southern Oscillation on North Atlantic Climate 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2018, 31 (21) : 8861-8873
作者:  Ayarzaguena, Blanca;  Ineson, Sarah;  Dunstone, Nick J.;  Baldwin, Mark P.;  Scaife, Adam A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09