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Skilful seasonal prediction of winter wind speeds in China 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 3937-3955
作者:  Lockwood, Julia F.;  Thornton, Hazel E.;  Dunstone, Nick;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Bett, Philip E.;  Li, Chaofan;  Ren, Hong-Li
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Seasonal forecasting  Forecast verification/skill  Wind  Asia  
Seasonal predictability of winter ENSO types in operational dynamical model predictions 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 3869-3890
作者:  Ren, Hong-Li;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Dunstone, Nick;  Tian, Ben;  Liu, Ying;  Ineson, Sarah;  Lee, June-Yi;  Smith, Doug;  Liu, Changzheng;  Thompson, Vikki;  Vellinga, Michael;  MacLachlan, Craig
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Two types of winter ENSO events  Predictability  Dynamical model  Evaluation  
Stratospheric initial conditions provide seasonal predictability of the North Atlantic and Arctic Oscillations 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 14 (3)
作者:  Nie, Yu;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Hong Li Ren;  Comer, Ruth E.;  Andrews, Martin B.;  Davis, Philip;  Martin, Nicola
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
seasonal prediction  stratosphere  NAO/AO  GloSea5  
Risk and dynamics of unprecedented hot months in South East China 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 2585-2596
作者:  Thompson, Vikki;  Dunstone, Nick J.;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Smith, Doug M.;  Hardiman, Steven C.;  Ren, Hong-Li;  Lu, Bo;  Belcher, Stephen E.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Unprecedented extremes  Climate risks  Silk Road Pattern  China  Hot summers  
Tropical rainfall predictions from multiple seasonal forecast systems 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019, 39 (2) : 974-988
作者:  Scaife, Adam A.;  Ferranti, Laura;  Alves, Oscar;  Athanasiadis, Panos;  Baehr, Johanna;  Deque, Michel;  Dippe, Tina;  Dunstone, Nick;  Fereday, David;  Gudgel, Richard G.;  Greatbatch, Richard J.;  Hermanson, Leon;  Imada, Yukiko;  Jain, Shipra;  Kumar, Arun;  MacLachlan, Craig;  Merryfield, William;  Mueller, Wolfgang A.;  Ren, Hong-Li;  Smith, Doug;  Takaya, Yuhei;  Vecchi, Gabriel;  Yang, Xiaosong
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
ensemble  ENSO  NAO  PNA  seasona prediction  tropical rainfall  
An extreme negative Indian Ocean Dipole event in 2016: dynamics and predictability 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 51: 89-100
作者:  Lu, Bo;  Ren, Hong-Li;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Wu, Jie;  Dunstone, Nick;  Smith, Doug;  Wan, Jianghua;  Eade, Rosie;  MacLachlan, Craig;  Gordon, Margaret
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Indian Ocean Dipole  Air-sea interaction  East African drought  Seasonal prediction  
The asymmetric response of Yangtze river basin summer rainfall to El Nino/La Nina 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 13 (2)
作者:  Hardiman, Steven C.;  Dunstone, Nick J.;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Bett, Philip E.;  Li, Chaofan;  Lu, Bo;  Ren, Hong-Li;  Smith, Doug M.;  Stephan, Claudia C.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
seasonal forecasting  Yangtze basin rainfall  ENSO  asymmetric rainfall response  Indian Ocean  
Skillful seasonal predictions of winter precipitation over southern China 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2017, 12 (7)
作者:  Lu, Bo;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Dunstone, Nick;  Smith, Doug;  Ren, Hong-Li;  Liu, Ying;  Eade, Rosie
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
winter precipitation  seasonal prediction  ENSO teleconnection  
The influence of dynamical variability on the observed Brewer-Dobson circulation trend 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2017, 44 (6)
作者:  Hardiman, Steven C.;  Lin, Pu;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Dunstone, Nick J.;  Ren, Hong-Li
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Brewer-Dobson circulation  variability  trend  Time of Emergence