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Model simulation experiments give scientists a clearer understanding of factors that influence monsoon behavior 新闻
来源平台:EurekAlert!. 发布日期:2019
作者:  admin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:0/0  |  提交时间:2020/01/16
Mass balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet from 1992 to 2018 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 579 (7798) : 233-+
作者:  Scudellari, Megan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

The Greenland Ice Sheet has been a major contributor to global sea-level rise in recent decades(1,2), and it is expected to continue to be so(3). Although increases in glacier flow(4-6) and surface melting(7-9) have been driven by oceanic(10-12) and atmospheric(13,14) warming, the magnitude and trajectory of the ice sheet'  s mass imbalance remain uncertain. Here we compare and combine 26 individual satellite measurements of changes in the ice sheet'  s volume, flow and gravitational potential to produce a reconciled estimate of its mass balance. The ice sheet was close to a state of balance in the 1990s, but annual losses have risen since then, peaking at 345 +/- 66 billion tonnes per year in 2011. In all, Greenland lost 3,902 +/- 342 billion tonnes of ice between 1992 and 2018, causing the mean sea level to rise by 10.8 +/- 0.9 millimetres. Using three regional climate models, we show that the reduced surface mass balance has driven 1,964 +/- 565 billion tonnes (50.3 per cent) of the ice loss owing to increased meltwater runoff. The remaining 1,938 +/- 541 billion tonnes (49.7 per cent) of ice loss was due to increased glacier dynamical imbalance, which rose from 46 +/- 37 billion tonnes per year in the 1990s to 87 +/- 25 billion tonnes per year since then. The total rate of ice loss slowed to 222 +/- 30 billion tonnes per year between 2013 and 2017, on average, as atmospheric circulation favoured cooler conditions(15) and ocean temperatures fell at the terminus of Jakobshavn Isbr AE(16). Cumulative ice losses from Greenland as a whole have been close to the rates predicted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for their high-end climate warming scenario(17), which forecast an additional 70 to 130 millimetres of global sea-level rise by 2100 compared with their central estimate.


  
Global cooling linked to increased glacial carbon storage via changes in Antarctic sea ice 期刊论文
NATURE GEOSCIENCE, 2019, 12 (12) : 1001-+
作者:  Marzocchi, Alice;  Jansen, Malte F.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/16
Observed and simulated changes in precipitation seasonality in Argentina 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019
作者:  Doyle, Moira E.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:15/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Argentina  CMIP5  precipitation concentration  precipitation seasonality  trends  
Uncertainty in the Evolution of Climate Feedback Traced to the Strength of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019
作者:  Lin, Yuan-Jen;  Hwang, Yen-Ting;  Ceppi, Paulo;  Gregory, Jonathan M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
climate sensitivity  climate feedback  Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation  
Improved leading modes of interannual variability of the Asian-Australian monsoon in an AGCM via incorporating a stochastic multicloud model 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019
作者:  Ma, Libin;  Jiang, Zijun
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
The Asian-Australian monsoon  Stochastic multicloud model  Leading modes  Interannual variability  Precipitation  
On the Mechanisms of the Active 2018 Tropical Cyclone Season in the North Pacific 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019
作者:  Qian, Y.;  Morakami, H.;  Nakano, M.;  Hsu, P-C;  Delworth, T. L.;  Kapnick, S. B.;  Ramaswamy, V;  Mochizuki, T.;  Morioka, Y.;  Doi, T.;  Kataoka, T.;  Nasuno, T.;  Yoshida, K.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
tropical cyclones  North Pacific  Pacific Meridional Mode  central Pacific El Nino  future change  extreme events  
Is the Net Cloud Radiative Effect Constrained to be Uniform Over the Tropical Warm Pools? 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019
作者:  Wall, Casey J.;  Hartmann, Dennis L.;  Norris, Joel R.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Tropical Convection  Cloud Radiative Effects  Ocean-Atmosphere Interactions  
Enhanced Climate Change Response of Wintertime North Atlantic Circulation, Cyclonic Activity, and Precipitation in a 25-km-Resolution Global Atmospheric Model 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (22) : 7763-7781
作者:  Baker, Alexander J.;  Schiemann, Reinhard;  Hodges, Kevin, I;  Demory, Marie-Estelle;  Mizielinski, Matthew S.;  Roberts, Malcolm J.;  Shaffrey, Len C.;  Strachan, Jane;  Vidale, Pier Luigi
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Europe  North Atlantic Ocean  Atmospheric circulation  Extratropical cyclones  Precipitation  Storm tracks  
Rising Temperatures Increase Importance of Oceanic Evaporation as a Source for Continental Precipitation 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (22) : 7713-7726
作者:  Findell, Kirsten L.;  Keys, Patrick W.;  Van Der Ent, Ruud J.;  Lintner, Benjamin R.;  Berg, Alexis;  Krasting, John P.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:28/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Atmosphere-land interaction  Hydrologic cycle  Climate change  Water budget  balance  Numerical analysis  modeling  General circulation models