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Ice sheet melting: Estimates still uncertain, experts warn 新闻
来源平台:EurekAlert! - Earth Science. 发布日期:2019
作者:  admin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/01/16
Seasonal forecasts challenged by Pacific Ocean warming 新闻
来源平台:EurekAlert! - Earth Science. 发布日期:2019
作者:  admin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:2/0  |  提交时间:2020/01/16
Tiny shells reveal waters off California are acidifying twice as fast as the global ocean 新闻
来源平台:EurekAlert! - Earth Science. 发布日期:2019
作者:  admin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:1/0  |  提交时间:2020/01/16
Bird migration timing skewed by climate, new research finds 新闻
来源平台:EurekAlert! - Earth Science. 发布日期:2019
作者:  admin
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Mass balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet from 1992 to 2018 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 579 (7798) : 233-+
作者:  Scudellari, Megan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

The Greenland Ice Sheet has been a major contributor to global sea-level rise in recent decades(1,2), and it is expected to continue to be so(3). Although increases in glacier flow(4-6) and surface melting(7-9) have been driven by oceanic(10-12) and atmospheric(13,14) warming, the magnitude and trajectory of the ice sheet'  s mass imbalance remain uncertain. Here we compare and combine 26 individual satellite measurements of changes in the ice sheet'  s volume, flow and gravitational potential to produce a reconciled estimate of its mass balance. The ice sheet was close to a state of balance in the 1990s, but annual losses have risen since then, peaking at 345 +/- 66 billion tonnes per year in 2011. In all, Greenland lost 3,902 +/- 342 billion tonnes of ice between 1992 and 2018, causing the mean sea level to rise by 10.8 +/- 0.9 millimetres. Using three regional climate models, we show that the reduced surface mass balance has driven 1,964 +/- 565 billion tonnes (50.3 per cent) of the ice loss owing to increased meltwater runoff. The remaining 1,938 +/- 541 billion tonnes (49.7 per cent) of ice loss was due to increased glacier dynamical imbalance, which rose from 46 +/- 37 billion tonnes per year in the 1990s to 87 +/- 25 billion tonnes per year since then. The total rate of ice loss slowed to 222 +/- 30 billion tonnes per year between 2013 and 2017, on average, as atmospheric circulation favoured cooler conditions(15) and ocean temperatures fell at the terminus of Jakobshavn Isbr AE(16). Cumulative ice losses from Greenland as a whole have been close to the rates predicted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for their high-end climate warming scenario(17), which forecast an additional 70 to 130 millimetres of global sea-level rise by 2100 compared with their central estimate.


  
Benefits of Investments in climate services for agriculture and food security outweigh costs 新闻
来源平台:world meteorological organization (wmo). 发布日期:2019
作者:  admin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/01/17
Recommended temperature metrics for carbon budget estimates, model evaluation and climate policy 期刊论文
NATURE GEOSCIENCE, 2019, 12 (12) : 964-+
作者:  Tokarska, Katarzyna B.;  Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich;  Rogelj, Joeri;  Stolpe, Martin B.;  Matthews, H. Damon;  Pfleiderer, Peter;  Gillett, Nathan P.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/16
Valuing Wetlands in climate and biodiversity agendas: recommendations for climate pledges 新闻
来源平台:Wetlands International. 发布日期:2019
作者:  admin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:2/0  |  提交时间:2020/01/16
Projecting drought characteristics over East African basins at specific global warming levels 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2019, 228: 41-54
作者:  Nguvava, Mariam;  Abiodun, Babatunde J.;  Otieno, Francis
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
East Africa  Drought  Simulations  Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration  Index  River basins  
An evapotranspiration deficit drought index to detect drought impacts on ecosystems 新闻
来源平台:EurekAlert! - Earth Science. 发布日期:2019
作者:  admin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2020/01/16